Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Diva Treva | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Docs Seven | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Emma | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Be Sheehan | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Shadows | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer of Mischief | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cibolo | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colt Fiction | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tee Burns | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lamutanaatty | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin for Revenge | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lightning Struck | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rifey | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tropic Storm | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rare Stripe | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Family | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Turbine | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barstool Babe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hurricane Fire | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemonesse | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wowsers | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outwork Mom | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Chianti | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Spark | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Arts | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Timbavati | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Twister | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Heated Argument | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Girl in Red | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queenies Way | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitiara | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Music | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Strategy | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Cappen | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie Girl To | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pat’s Gal | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Little Burrito | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mocha Kiss | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Q’s Your Mama | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adamantly | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perceptive | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Woods Miracle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Empress | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Terre | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lost Love | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boogie On | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rita’s Revenge | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Be Gone | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Castle | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Branch | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Devlish Gal | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Linnie Mae | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gogo Bobbyjo | 1.40 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Getoutofmykitchen | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | This Damsel Mayfly | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Petit Jean | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sparkly | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | And Change | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devious Diva | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scampering Ma’am | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Art Queen | 4.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Amoureux | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Global Risk | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fabulous Tale | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Excess Magic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Count de Monet | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mean Jakey | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Money Run | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upstriker | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speight and Malice | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shady Empire | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Circle Back Jack | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pressure | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hi Yah | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Date | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deflater | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| Pressure | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Here U Come Again | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hush It Honey | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freeburn | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklynn Drew | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Haulin Ice | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best Cupcake | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flower Mound | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shy Shy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spin the Breeze | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapiture’s Lady | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Affection | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wampus Kitten | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Natural State Breeders’ S.) – Natural State Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kantex | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mozingo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rivercrest Girl | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cashmere Baby | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Punchy Girl | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sulwe | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kaboom Baby | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lassie My Girl | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Courtney Fay | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rose Parade | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Choctaw Bingo | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banterra | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Ways | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pate | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madamoussepousse | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Titled Lady | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Friend Amy | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Music Mistress | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tiffany Twist | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Carroll County | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adiva | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Julia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chuck Wills Widow | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Southern Speight | 50.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ariel M D | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Woopig | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kava | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arden Ar | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Principal Anita | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pneuma | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Presleys Turn | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arr Piratetreasure | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | April Flower Bound | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Graceful Moon | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Queen Wilhelmina | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.