Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Diva Treva 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Abby the Bull Dawg 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Docs Seven 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Singing Emma 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 She Be Sheehan 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Chasing Shadows 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Summer of Mischief 1.60 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cibolo 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Colt Fiction 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Tee Burns 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Lamutanaatty 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lookin for Revenge 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Lightning Struck 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Rifey 3.50 6.7 13-1
4 4 Tropic Storm 8.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Rare Stripe 4.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Awesome Family 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Texas Turbine 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barstool Babe 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Hurricane Fire 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Lemonesse 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Wowsers 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Outwork Mom 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Tale of Chianti 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Irish Spark 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Royal Arts 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Timbavati 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Unbridled Twister 4.50 3.9 7-1
13 13 Heated Argument 2.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 The Girl in Red 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Queenies Way 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Kitiara 8.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 K J’s Pistol Annie 30.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 War Music 5.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 Gold Strategy 15.00 11.1 21-1
2 2 Courageous Cappen 6.00 11.7 22-1
11 11 Dixie Girl To 30.00 13 25-1
3 3 Pat’s Gal 20.00 13.4 25-1
12 12 Little Burrito 30.00 13.7 26-1
14 14 Mocha Kiss 15.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Q’s Your Mama 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Adamantly 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Perceptive 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Dr. Woods Miracle 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Elusive Empress 30.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Miss Terre 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Lost Love 3.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Boogie On 8.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Rita’s Revenge 20.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 I Be Gone 50.00 11.7 22-1
7 7 Air Castle 12.00 11.8 22-1
4 4 Bee Branch 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Devlish Gal 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Linnie Mae 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Gogo Bobbyjo 1.40 7 13-1
7 7 Getoutofmykitchen 12.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 This Damsel Mayfly 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Petit Jean 20.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Sparkly 30.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 And Change 30.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Devious Diva 3.50 9.9 19-1
9 9 Scampering Ma’am 20.00 11.3 21-1
1 1 Art Queen 4.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 Amoureux 30.00 11.9 23-1
2 2 Global Risk 20.00 12.6 24-1
6 6 Fabulous Tale 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Excess Magic 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Count de Monet 12.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Mean Jakey 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Money Run 3.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Upstriker 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Speight and Malice 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Shady Empire 20.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Circle Back Jack 30.00 7 13-1
2 2 Pressure 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Hi Yah 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Derby Date 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Deflater 10.00 8 15-1
Pressure 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Here U Come Again 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hush It Honey 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Freeburn 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Brooklynn Drew 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Haulin Ice 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Best Cupcake 50.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Flower Mound 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Shy Shy 30.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Spin the Breeze 30.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Tapiture’s Lady 30.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Affection 20.00 11.9 23-1
10 10 Wampus Kitten 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Natural State Breeders’ S.) – Natural State Breeders’ S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kantex 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Mozingo 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Rivercrest Girl 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Bennykayandsuzytoo 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Cashmere Baby 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Punchy Girl 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Sulwe 3.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Kaboom Baby 3.50 7.7 15-1
7 7 Lassie My Girl 30.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Courtney Fay 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rose Parade 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Choctaw Bingo 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Banterra 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Majestic Ways 10.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Pate 12.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Madamoussepousse 15.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Titled Lady 2.50 10 19-1
10 10 My Friend Amy 15.00 10.4 20-1
2 2 Music Mistress 10.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Tiffany Twist 8.00 11.4 22-1
5 5 Ms Carroll County 30.00 11.9 23-1
8 8 Adiva 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Julia 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chuck Wills Widow 15.00 1.3 2-1
14 14 Southern Speight 50.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Ariel M D 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lady Woopig 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Kava 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Arden Ar 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Principal Anita 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Pneuma 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Presleys Turn 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Arr Piratetreasure 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 April Flower Bound 30.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Graceful Moon 50.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Queen Wilhelmina 15.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.