Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 3, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 How About Pavel 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Keep Dancin Nick 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 A Votre Sante 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mr. Machupicchu 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Bodacious 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 R Heisman 2.50 7 13-1
7 7 Sir Nano 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Headed for Om 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Clubhouse Bride 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Recalcitrant 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Back On Track 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Chamaville 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Bit’s Tiger Magic 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beautiful Janet 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lady Cruiser 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Classy 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Fast Investment 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Max’s Maxine 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Warren’s Showgirl 2.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Miss Allure 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Giovinazzo 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Don’t Swear Dave 3.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Eastern Ocean 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Enjoy It Strait 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Moody Jim (IRE) 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Tulane Tryst 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Low Expectations 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Broadway Venus 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Lil’ Bit Bossy 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Odies Memory Lane 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 5 Knightwithlouis 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Swift Harmony 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 98 Cali Cream 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gobernadora Ely 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hayley Amber 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Really Thirsty 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 O Mandy 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Moorea Time 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Danzig Til Dawn 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Truly Magical 5.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Hollywood Penny 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Speed Grazy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Nauvoo 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Spiritual Advisor 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Big Bet Jafinsafa 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 The Big Wam 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Man Overboard 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stop Digging 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lovely Idaho 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Isabel Ludlow 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Danzingwith Maxine 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Play My Speed 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Shoot for the Sky 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Smiling Forever 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Miz Clubcali 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.