Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ec Suzuki 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Palmero Fantasy 2.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mr E Vision 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rh Zancudito Flash 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ima Calente Kid 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Heza Fast Tac 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Five Bar 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Game Little Wagon 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fast Too Lunch 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Tdz Kings Ransom 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jp Icy Boss 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jess Corona Blue 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Matti Jambalaya 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Rcv Divide the Money 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Miss Leaving You 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Rose Pool 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Encino Man 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Eaglette 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Heza Silent Rogue 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dlj Jess Thrill Me 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Avaree 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jambalaya Yall 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 One Dream Girl 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Eye Jess Runaway 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Andres Sweet Cartel 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Sippin On Goose 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Political Moon 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Rl Kanguro 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Mda Miracle Worker 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Run for the Prize 1.60 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Move Over 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Corona Cornelia Adh 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Jj One Jessan 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 The Purchase Power 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Rm Mines Train B 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Beg Feature 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Memphis Badboy 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Precious T 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Traviezo Train 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royally Struttin 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sweet Dash 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Jrs Majestic Prince 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mr Dohick 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Jnj a Game Jess 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Five Star Chick 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Showmedafreight 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Jettin Thru the Snow 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Inseperable Tees 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Ociefirstprizedoc 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Runaway Dove 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 All Aboard B 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Stevin Got Even 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Nbc Mr Chris 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Big Man 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Flaming Eagle 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Bellas First Rogue 8.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 One Favorite Jess 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Sipp of Corona 15.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Im the Machine 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cardiac 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Toll Tac Express B 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 I Cartel 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Sheza Monee Train 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Carter Dash for Real 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Blood N Coronas 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Jess Tempting Reb 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Dlj Thrill Me Eagle 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Baby Blue Corona 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 One Sweet Tap 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rogues Fast Sister 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Zoomin Dash 2.50 1.3 3-1
8 8 Patriot Mountain 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Jess Catch This 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Full Vision 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Fastdash Pilot 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Aj Is Blue 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 My Buddy Blue 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Baylors Boy 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Special Rip Tide 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 De Bell Train 12.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Alcala Riptide 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Mda Pop My Serrano B 20.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Apollitical Ali 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Gg Catching Coronas 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Hershey Bar One 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Eyesa Good Corona 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bolt of Corona 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.