Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mas Vino 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ghoz On 1.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Sand Wedge 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Lady Oakridge 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Shiloh 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Whats Up Buttercup 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Black and Silver 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Every Four Years 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sir Mendel 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Frank Jr 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Rags Special 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Wild Charm 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Immortal Lion 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Go Go Santi 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Remerton 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amor Y Control 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Drinks On Me 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Runaway Breeze 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Barbara 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Foxy Lady 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Heir to the Roar 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Nikee Kan 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Titan 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Builder Jak 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Hey River 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Kuwait Towers 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Big Sense 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Macassar 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Breath Deeply 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Shady Boy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Honey Ryder S.) – Honey Ryder S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Karaya 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 De Regreso 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Stormcast 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Zo Lee 4.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Destiny Star 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Show Off 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mojave Desert 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Dazzling Move 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 New Diamond 12.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Welcome Back 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Lady Cha Cha 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Majestic Venezuela 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Six Feet Apart 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Gitana 1.40 1.7 3-1
3 3 Love Paradox 20.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Founder’s Day 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Mount Sinai 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Trevess 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 King d’Oro 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Adventurous Spirit 12.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Souper Attentive 6.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Devilment 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Linesman 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Noble Tiger 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Yankee Drummer 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Out of Bounds 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Zozan 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Annointed 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Best Distance 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 People Force 5.00 3.4 7-1
10 10 Swan Lake 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Backwoods Boogie 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Honesto 3.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Hartsbeatlikthundr 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Uncle Armando 3.50 6.5 12-1
3 3 Kitten’s Spa 6.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Burning Man 30.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Readyseekgo 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grand Journey 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Desolator 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Valentine Bug 1.80 3.7 7-1
7 7 Tiz a Prince 30.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Artemus Bridge 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Gentleman Gerry 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Coach Abernathy 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Chapalu 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiz a Tale 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Call My Banker 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Ubiquitous 2.50 1.9 3-1
6 6 Ragtime Blues 30.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Thenorthremembers 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Smokin Cloud 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Uncle B 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jupiter Blues 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (English Channel S.) – English Channel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prevent 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 In a Jam 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Please Advise 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Salvattore Prince 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Time Song 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sentenza 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Freedom Principle 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Ehsaan 30.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Dancing Groom 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Brawn 30.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Ninja Star 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.