Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hurrying Home 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Margie’s Fun Son 1.60 3.2 6-1
2 2 Traffic Master 1.80 3.3 6-1
7 7 Nico Lucky 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Wesley Thomas 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Inspired Irish 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Court Contender 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hard Traveler 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Longworth 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Simon’s Choice 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Tortola 30.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 So Smooth 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 True Account 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Storm Force 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Burroughs Cay 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ree Nee’s Six 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Remember Me 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Pudd’n N Pie 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Maddie Ten 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Lisa’s Palace 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 At First Sight 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sheherhers 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pure Majestic 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Biscuitwiththeboss 1.40 2.5 5-1
6 6 Safe Trust 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Ravenex 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Rapido Rosa 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Belmontis 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guaponess 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Von Hoff 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Thataway 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Dublshotofcourage 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Quincannon 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Katie’s Notion 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 The Great Gazoo 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Baron’s Legacy 4.00 7 13-1
11 11 Orocovix 20.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Outkissed 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 My Mamba 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rubys Flash 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Work Hard 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vilaluz 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Westeros 1.20 3 6-1
1 1 Honor the Cross 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Passioned 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bermuda Run 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Into the Sauce 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Big Enchilada 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 Little Skippy 10.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Hammer 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Gatto Be Proud 20.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Tempest 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Celtic Sea 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sir Lance 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Upsidedown Man 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Stellar Lute 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Evenly Divided 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Better Luck 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Jumpingjaggerflash 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shining Spirit 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Biscuit 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Striker Has Dial 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 No More Kisses 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Enemynumbernine 12.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Lottie Deno 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lady Hamilton 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Instinctive 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Jess’s Gypsy Girl 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Congress Hall 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bad Temper 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 She So Cool 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Glossamer 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Nicolar 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Esperannna 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Extra Dirty 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Quit Quay 1.40 1.3 3-1
3 3 Montana Rose 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Kanem 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Happyinitiative 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Paperback Edition 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Divine Spirit 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.