Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Communication Memo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luv to Win | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starburst | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Heart | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Authority | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Verb | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Grantham | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drifter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Raymond | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Remarkable Mo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold d’Oro | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pineland | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hailstorm | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Crush | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous M | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Ransom | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gimmeethreesteps | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Safe Bet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gucci Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hess | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Blank | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gluckstadt | 1.40 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deluca | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight’n Ready | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Holus Bolus | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corked | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard to Come By | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redfield | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Contrabandista | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mahoney Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ain’t That a Kick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Quincy Market | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cravensworth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saturday Starter | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re On Mute | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parisian Promise | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snow King | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gotta Have Dreams | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diomedes | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Mesa | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Victory Dash | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kennel Club | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aztec Fire | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malinalco | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Phenomenal Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Windcracker | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nip N Tuck | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kowboykabin | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Namesake | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Threefiftyseven | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greatheart | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jewelstown | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Colosi | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Devil Vision | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bizzy Legs | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risk Profile | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chaos Reigns | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Z Z’s Prince | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cadillac Cowboy | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palmetto Devil | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Interrupter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | String Theory | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Brother Mike | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preparedness | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speaking Loud | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Statler | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honest Opinion | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Xkuz | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Storm Cat Eyes | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Mo Whining | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gimme Love | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flyherbflyhigh | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hard to Fathom | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shacks Way | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Megatap | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hern | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Life Is Hard | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Home Run Trick | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T Bones Trick | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Martini Blu | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nikolaou | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Out Run’m | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curly Jack | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roman Centurian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boogie Bode | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Breslau | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juilliard | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rithm Nic | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cathedral Beach | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A La Carte | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boat Song | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chiringo | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunflash | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Late Nite Radio | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manta Rey | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Classify | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Chaos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bettys Cash | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Plausible Denile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rose Parade | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Lass | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enchanted Nile | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Ella | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Makemebelieve | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Natty Patty | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paris Style (FR) | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | West Side Girl | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | C. C. Harbor | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s to Do | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Toffee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Lake Hamilton S.) – Lake Hamilton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skelly | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Skelly | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edge to Edge | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mish | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruggs | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mahomey | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Payne | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Dude | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straight No Chaser | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.) – Arkansas Breeders’ Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Willow Creek Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lochmoor | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Seal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Sky | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Black Apple | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Ten Stadium | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dinner At Crumpies | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cybertown | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Man in the Can | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Al’s Romeo | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready Shoes | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chez Whiz | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Benny | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moneystrike | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Young Jonesboro | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beraberabera | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bet All the Gold | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Honor | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Mack | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Welcometoarkansas | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | It’s a Rainy Day | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Changing Times | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tarps Storm | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Great Barrier | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mandatory Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.