Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Java’s Lucky Lady 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Treasure Peace 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Bossy Kate 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Missuptowntoodelou 6.00 5 10-1
2 2 Yeloma 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Emma’s Abi 4.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 My Brown Eyed Girl 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 April Clover 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Abundant Life 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Velvet Vixen 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Shelby Shortstop 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sophia’s Rose 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Universal Design 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Everheart 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Maher 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Classy Miss 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 A Bit Bad N Boujee 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Madame Rouge 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Canoochee 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Carly Hustle 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Miss Loyalty 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Color Crush 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Whitewalker 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Level Up 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Rush Center 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dance a Dini 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Majestic Lion 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 The Gatekeeper 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Party News 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Leslie Chow 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Hey What’s Up 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Exit Right 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Zoomer 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kingsville 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Roan Mountain 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 You Must Chill 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Brother Brad 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Will E Sutton 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jewels in the Bay 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Don’t Wait Up 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Perfect Day 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mr. Roundtree 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Speedy Bolt 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mutasallem 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Overly Critical 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Lookin’ Super 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Talkin Pharoah 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cause I Said 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cabra Chica 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Scott Alaia 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Powwa of Love 4.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Flashndynamite 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Decoupage 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Peacelovenkarma 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Heleonortiz 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Lulinda’s Heart 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hightime Valentine 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vine Jet 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Speightster Red 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 It’s Game Time 5.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Rerally 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Yes Sir Colonel 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Olympic Romp 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Angelus Warrior 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Petulant Delight 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Artistic Reason 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jarlian 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sophos 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.