Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Island Cruiser 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Scatify 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Charge for Gold 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Miracle Mark 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sorrento Sky (IRE) 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Always On Cay 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Rastaman Vibe 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cowboy Mike 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 McLaren Vale 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Hero Status 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Piroli 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Brazenly 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hawker 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Queen’s Code 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Pioneer Prince 1.60 3.2 6-1
6 6 Rhythem On Stage 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Rexford 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Eastbound 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Antonsen 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Logon to Win 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Cody Boy 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Come Fly Away 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Unusual Measure 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sunday Sun 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Square D’ Oro 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ellie Moore (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 O K Rose 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Notime for Squalls 4.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Discrepancy 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sky Sailing 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Pace Lane 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Toulouse Detrac 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Orderly Transition (GB) 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Starlit Harbor 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Miss Will 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wrong Turn Cupid 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dancing Dana 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Woodbine Way 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tapit Doux 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Keep Your Coil 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Vella 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Storm d’Oro 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Prince Abama (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Planetario (BRZ) 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 War At Sea 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Offlee Naughty 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Balladeer 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Rockemperor (IRE) 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Last Call Paul 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dance Man 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Trotsky 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Spot D’ Oro 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 R Awesome Kid 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Summer Chief 20.00 5 10-1
6 6 War On the West 4.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Where’s the Loot 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Captain Choochies 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Indispensable 5.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 British Isles 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Balthazar 15.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 One Time Mark 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Siennois (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 The Old Nine (IRE) 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Hurricane Way 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tour Player 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Winsitwell 50.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Demotivate 15.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 Mysterious Husband 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thales 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mobe Town 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Rogue Son 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Damazio 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 The Big Cheeseola 3.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Dutch Bus 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Tahoe Secrets 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Dadstar 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Gotcha Lookin 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Thrumps Dream (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hennys Crazy Train 5.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Myfavoritedaughter 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pleasant Wave 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Lady Claypoole (IRE) 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Cornelia Fort 8.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Sunshine Babe 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Madiha 4.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Belle Cherie 12.00 10.3 20-1
1 1 Yarborough 20.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 Grace Period (FR) 15.00 11.6 22-1
12 12 Mahina 5.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.