Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Classy Image 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Crafty Oaks 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gradevole 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sister Cousin 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Different Drum 2.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Tabloid Material 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fast and Ready 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Scat Factor 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Stud Muffin 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Canadian Avro 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Souper Iconic 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 True Shot 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Gargas 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Oh Peanuts 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 War Painter 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Lady Wellington 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Novel 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Prima 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Home for a Rest 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Red Eleanor 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cefalo 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Valley Girl 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Make No Mistake 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 American Gamble 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Northern Ruby 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Loaded Question 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Little Fire 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bayou Belle 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Awildas Treasure 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Apex 0 0-1
3 3 American Decision 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Pierre 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Popweiser 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Backonthechaingang 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gilt Edge 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Bee Me 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Apex 4.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Highland Blue 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Olivia Rose 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Swinging Mandy 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Society’s Kat 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Weehawken 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Hot Cargo 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Livin On Luv 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Bedazzle Me 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Anam Cara 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Veri Gizmo 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Souper Sinclair 8.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Michele M. 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hay Hay Paula 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Queen Macha 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mi Corazon 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tivali 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Whimsical S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon) – Whimsical S. Presented By Bulleit Bourbon

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Play the Music 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Accomplished Girl 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Sunday Shoes 6.00 1.7 3-1
14 14 Baby No Worries 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Dolce Sopresa 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Awesome Treat 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Peacock Lass 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Canadiansweetheart 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Speed Trap 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Trading Bay 30.00 7.8 15-1
15 15 The Arcadian Way 20.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Jokes Up 20.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Time for an Angel 30.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Blind Spot 20.00 11.4 22-1
9 9 Honey Pants 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pleasure’s Gold 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mrs. Green 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Howboutdemapples 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tito’s Calling 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Toeris 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Owen’s Tour Guide 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rookie Court 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Hot Omelet 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Krypto Gains 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Stolen 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 My Assistant 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Speedy Johny 2.50 4 8-1
8 8 Few Regrets 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Mizz Gemma 12.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Original Me 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.