Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 That’s Money 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Speed Runner 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Proprietary Trade 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Doc Sullivan 2.00 4 7-1
2 2 J D Factor 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Agra 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Oversubscribed (GB) 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 Surprenant Cocca 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Bernietakescharge 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Tina Ballerina 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Macanga 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Bertrille 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Blenheim Baby 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (License Fee S.) – License Fee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dontlookbackatall 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Honey Pants 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Gal in a Rush 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Lady Milagro 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Risk Free 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Everyoneloveslinda 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Hot Fudge 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thank You Jon 2.50 1 2-1
1A 7 Youbetterbejoking 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Deputy Connect 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bargaining Power 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 8 Midnight Express 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Opportunity Set 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 My Man Woody 20.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Flashy Alex 20.00 7 13-1
8 9 Freeze Pop 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jackson’s Dixie 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 True Empress 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Tempermental 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 My First Love 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Harlan’s Bond 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Little Linzee 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Backed by Gold 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Twelth Man 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Winning Connection 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Bad Larry 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Inspeightoftrainer 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Sinful Dancer 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Feathers Road 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Midnight Worker 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Face Abarrio 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Gold Fever S.) – Gold Fever S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Doncho 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Pirate 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Yo Yo Candy 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Eliminate 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Buccherino 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Billal 3.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Iridescent 10.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Maximus Meridius 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Dot’s Dollar 6.00 1 2-1
2 1 Bourbon’s Hope 20.00 2.4 5-1
8 9 Chateau 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 8 Morning Cup 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 10 Amundson 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 5 Cash Now 30.00 4.5 8-1
6 7 Bronx Bomber 10.00 5.1 10-1
1A 4 Mr Phil 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 2 Clem Labine 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Chuck Willis (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.