Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Liam’s the Great 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Studlydoright 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Sir Mick 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ace It 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Enabler 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Notmyfirstrodeo 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Up in Flames 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tall Order 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Moncrief 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 John Hall 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Kbcya Later 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Boss Man J J 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Casino Tricks 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Switzer 3.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Claudee Boy 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Happy Cat 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 El Divino Nino 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bonnie Bill 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Austin From Boston 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Mr. Mox 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Luv Ya Bye Bye 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Claw 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bermondsey 30.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Science (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One Way Farrior 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Little Lance 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Irish Bandit 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Paco the Taco Man 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 The Ice Man Carlos 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Chica Chuck 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mister Agent 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Traffic 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Storm Rate 4.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Closertotheheart 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Cora’s Choice 3.50 6.9 13-1
4 4 Bali Hai 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Donna’s Courage 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Forgotten Gift 8.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Fivecommatwo 6.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Stolen Laughter 8.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Good Story 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wicked Secret 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Brady Bear 2.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Photo Hop 30.00 2 4-1
13 13 High Stakes 3.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Buckin’ Dreamer 12.00 4.1 8-1
16 16 General’s Duty 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Splendor Beauty 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Omar Comin 30.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Awesome Strike 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wired In 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gettin’downonit 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blame D Rule Maker 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Fleets Bay 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Dancing Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Masterofhiscraft 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Eddie Felson 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kaya’s Halo 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Mo Tough 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 La Samana Laura 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Marley’s Ghost 1.60 4.6 9-1
3 3 Water Witch 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Always Forward 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Earley Rose 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Chaveta 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Peppermint Class 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Irish Warlock 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Order Ofthe Kettle 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Silverbullettwenty 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Find Faith 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Whizwit 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Award Nominated 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 My Mamba 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Midnight Renegade 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aliferous 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Helms Deep 30.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Trash Talkin Larry 3.50 6.1 11-1
11 11 Fortune’s Fool 1.60 8.2 15-1
10 10 Bobby G 5.00 8.4 16-1
15 15 Caerus 6.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Big Beautiful Wall 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Super E 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Transfer the Funds 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mint Game 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Boy Colton 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Eddie the Great 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sagrada Ray 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 The Last Scip 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Country Charlie 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Southern Lad 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Under the Overpass 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 My Asian Lover 20.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Dreamwithinadream 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Crooked Dreams 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Catching Stars 1.40 3.2 6-1
5 5 Thunderslam 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Pilote Comete 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.