Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rocket Sanders 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Crabtree 10.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Mr. Butch 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Bradford 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Mandatory Mission 20.00 2 4-1
6 6 Blessed Vision 30.00 2 4-1
3 3 Outlaw Run 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Day Jo 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Doublecheck 15.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Time Andbeyond 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hayahlookatme 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Toffee 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Quiero Dinero 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 True Princess 12.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Unstable Princess 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Pleasingly 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Molly of Stratford 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 What’s to Do 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Cupid’s Music 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Sassy Lass 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Subway Susie 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 God’s Country 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mansoura 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Chrome’s Echo 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sunday Spirit 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Great Barrier 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Pearcy Road 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Get Away With It 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Gentle Ben 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Our Heavenly Gift 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Big Andy Mort 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Secret Strategy 15.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Perscripture 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Run Fearless 15.00 1 2-1
12 12 Delta Moon 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Mocha Kiss 20.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Too Pretty 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Magnolia Mae 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Heated Argument 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Petula 5.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Musicmansandy 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 She’s Storming 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Lady Astrid 30.00 5 9-1
8 8 Doughty 3.50 5.7 11-1
7 7 Shutup Please 30.00 9.9 19-1
14 14 Halaga 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Navagationalbeacon 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 P R Call Me Maybe 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mount Craig 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Baton Rouge 2.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Coach Jimi D 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Ride for Sul 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Ryno Wrecker 30.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Ronaldinho 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Memphis Pharoah 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Charbon 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Jimmy Slice 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’m Wide Awake 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Wind of Change (BRZ) 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Top Gunner 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Rob the Rich 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 City of Clouds 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Palace Kitten 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Boogie Bode 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 League of Legends 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Absolute Chaos 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Plausible Denile 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Excitable Boy 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Storms Home 4.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Interlock Empire 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Risk It 3.50 5.4 10-1
9 9 Henro 3.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Congrats On Fifty 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Konteekee 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Strato 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Flying Houdini 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dimatic 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Give Me a Reason 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big to Do 12.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Awesome Road 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 El Dinero 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Count Dracula 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 I’m Your Man 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Willy D’s 15.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Pappy’s Revenge 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Golden Plate 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Call the Cavalry 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Southern Sunset 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Inexorable 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Recker Point 2.50 5.2 10-1
13 13 Phantom Ride 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Auto Glide 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Heir to Greatness 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 C F V Bullet 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Dance Some Mo 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Calrissian 30.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 St Andrews 10.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Trigger Happy 10.00 8 15-1
9 9 Megan’s Honor 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Affable Monarch 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Lake Ouachita S.) – Lake Ouachita S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Law Professor 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ain’t Life Grand 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Silver Prospector 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Frosted Departure 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Strong Tide 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Nautical Star 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Ben Franklin 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Alexander Helios 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rungius 0 0-1
11 11 Rungius 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mystery Mo 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Polterer 2.00 2 4-1
9 9 Indian Gulch 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Big Paper 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Royal Act 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 What a Country 30.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Canadian Pharoah 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Fetchs Brahm 50.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Truculent 6.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 El Mic Tiesun 50.00 7.8 15-1
14 14 Quick Buck 30.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Make Noise 20.00 12 23-1
5 5 Howl Yeah 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.