Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Omey Island 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Marsh Creek 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Fast Chaz 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mysterious Husband 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Abitmischievous 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Highly Desirable (IRE) 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Uncle Mo’s Gold 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Tribal 4.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 The Rabbi 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Slew’s Joy 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Established 1.60 2.9 5-1
3 3 Divine Rascal 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 El Diablo Rojo 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Starship Chewbacca 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All That Glory 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cathal (IRE) 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Tees Touch (GB) 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Vader 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Angier 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Eisenhower 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 In Suspense 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Mendelssohns Music 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rhino 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Mystic Spirit 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Ignatowski 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 J Dutton 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mucho Suerte 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Puddin Head Jones 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Man Among Men 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mystification 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Halfway Line (GB) 2.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Carver 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Seven Wonders 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Malibu Coast 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Midnight Mammoth 6.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Coalinga Road 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Sbagliato 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Class Clown 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Scary Fast Ride 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Show Card 1.60 4.6 9-1
3 3 Power Surge 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Diamonds Danzing 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Senorita S.) – Senorita S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alluring 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rascality 5.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Antifona (FR) 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Laulne (FR) 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Girl of My Dreams 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Flattery 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Shamrockin 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Visually 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ze’bul 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Habeas 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Crowning Gold 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Soul of Midnight 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Stop and a Tres 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Erebus 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Squalotoro 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Bag’s Gold 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Just Nails 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Excelia (IRE) 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Big Summer 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Jennifer’s d’Light 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Hayley Levade 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Pastiche (GB) 12.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Real Fire 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Mylittlerunaway 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Llorona 5.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Vitalera (CHI) 12.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Tiergarten 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 City Exile (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Barely Funtional 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Old Pal 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Reckless Spirit 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Jeweled Shillelagh 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Nashoba’s Joy 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Sea Singer (IRE) 6.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Blue Dog 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.