Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dancin’ Deputy 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sunyani 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Chunky Monkey 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bet N Win 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Ready On the Line 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mighty Pele 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Nova Folha 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Bill Needle 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zoning Order 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ghostly Perfection 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Smoken Chloe 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Moet Monet 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Wild Queenie 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Castleton 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Almonte Princess 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Freed by Magic 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Design Diva 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Perseverate 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miramichi 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Spirit Bear 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Taproom 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Silent Passion 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Soul Journey 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Princess O Denmark 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Virginia’s Legacy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Malibu Secret 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Jamiesta 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Kid Forester 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Kiddie Holiday 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Grainger County 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Echo With Laughter 4.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 King Alfredo 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Boxer Brief 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Solar 20.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Highland Society 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Three Sonny Sideup 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Four K Force 12.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Silent Fortune 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Midnight Arkle 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Might Bee Speedy 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mo Tourist 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Hardware Gap 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Jay Bird 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Super Headline 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Haley’s Honor 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Promising 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Catch the Drift 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Worship 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Make Magic 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ecstasy 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Caladium 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Peggy 20.00 5 9-1
10 10 Princess Jade 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Shakshuka 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Majestic Appeal 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 No More Options 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Win d’Oro 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Mighty Sea 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Forest Buzz 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 He’s Fully Loaded 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Good Rapport 3.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 It’s a Fluke 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Crumlin Lad 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Warp Ride 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Thorncliffe S.) – Thorncliffe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Candy Overload 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Flag Of Honour (AUS) 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Biz Biz Buzz 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Armstrong 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ironstone 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Rockcrest 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Jazz Hands 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Sky’s Not Falling 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Light the Lamp 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ready for a Fight 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Downy Boy 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Souper Success 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Four Aces High 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Spite Store 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Souper Classy 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Silent Miracle 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Lenny K 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Colonel Mustard 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Musical Spell 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Town’s Warrior 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Where Is Essa 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Agile Dancer 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Smart Sky 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Dream On Baby 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Valley Victory 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Spirit of Seattle 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Mr. Marshall 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Walter Me Lad 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.