Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just Music | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catching Heat | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gioioso | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shirl’s Delight | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Save Time | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autumn’s Turn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5 | He’smyhoneybadger | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kupp | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 7 | Cees Get Degrees | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spun and Won | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3X | 6 | Mandatory | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Stage Left | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 3 | Emerald Forest | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Subrogate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Low Society | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snappin Buttons | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Listen | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amy’s Light | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Progeny | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isn’t She Khozy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fighting Back | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wanna Winna | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Endowed | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Refuah | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby the Tank | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friday I’m in Love | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Arc | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Princess | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elle Est Forte | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Bonnie T | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kannon Fire | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Kristy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pentagon | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Melody | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Status | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anileate | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Rose | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Principessa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shigeko | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Fashionista | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Call Her Bluff | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | It Takes Heart | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Obrigada | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shesalittle Edgy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Violent Vixen | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fancy Azteca | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Icy Reply | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Jackie the Joker | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Self Isolation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tabeguache | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kuchar | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ouster | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Signator | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barese | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Bomber | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curbstone | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Liar’s Poker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barnstorming | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Medicine | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mauritius | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | October Bliss | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collect From Ike | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dune Road | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Huntsman | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Love Cara | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Andy Cant | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kreesa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jungfrau | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Chalky Cat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Petrolo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Midnight Award | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.