Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 9, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just Music 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Catching Heat 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Gioioso 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Shirl’s Delight 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Save Time 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Autumn’s Turn 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 5 He’smyhoneybadger 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Kupp 3.50 2 4-1
5 7 Cees Get Degrees 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Spun and Won 2.50 4 7-1
3X 6 Mandatory 1.80 4.4 8-1
1A 8 Stage Left 2.50 SCRATCH
2B 3 Emerald Forest 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Subrogate 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Low Society 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Snappin Buttons 1.40 1.3 2-1
6 6 Don’t Listen 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Amy’s Light 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Progeny 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Isn’t She Khozy 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fighting Back 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wanna Winna 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Endowed 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Refuah 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Bobby the Tank 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Friday I’m in Love 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Majestic Arc 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Crimson Princess 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Elle Est Forte 3.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 Miss Bonnie T 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Kannon Fire 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Miss Kristy 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Pentagon 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Silent Melody 4.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Diamond Status 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Anileate 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Graceful Rose 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Bella Principessa 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shigeko 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Fashionista 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Call Her Bluff 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 It Takes Heart 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Obrigada 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Shesalittle Edgy 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Violent Vixen 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Fancy Azteca 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 6 Icy Reply 5.00 4.9 9-1
1A 8 Jackie the Joker 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Self Isolation 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tabeguache 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kuchar 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Ouster 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Signator 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Barese 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Unbridled Bomber 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Curbstone 10.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Curlin’s Wisdom 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Liar’s Poker 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Barnstorming 4.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Good Medicine 2.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Mauritius 3.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Atlanta’s Acuna 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 October Bliss 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Collect From Ike 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Dune Road 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Noble Huntsman 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 I Love Cara 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Andy Cant 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Kreesa 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jungfrau 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Chalky Cat 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Petrolo 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Midnight Award 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.