Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windy Bay | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Windy Bay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divinely Bolt | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cant Keep Me Down | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Best Seller | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alamo | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Mercedes | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Great Richie M | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For Some Reason | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B Fifty Two | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Greylind | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Badlands Ruler | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Stormy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Bruiser | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Hair Sam | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Austin Cruise | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Sundance | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reb | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Repeatingofcourse | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Financial Whiz | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Toner | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sweet Fantasy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Hair Sam | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sergeant Capps | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tab Walker | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sackett | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American City | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lovely Regalo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Probationer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pin Up Betty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Raconteuse | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Gambler | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Restless Dreamer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dianthus | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Presence | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame the Gelato | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sicilian Princess | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capo Donna | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hampton Yard | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Semantics | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Argentinidad | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Guinevere | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Adrasteia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abadin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Asmodeus | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brazen Boy | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epic Battle | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iceatude | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Red Cent | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger’s Legacy | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Overbore | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winston Wolf | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Laughinalltheway | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lips Say Bliss | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tagliatelle | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Montevallo | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harold’s Cloud | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bobwhite Bobby | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pando | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Knox | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winston Wolf | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Welaka | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Athens Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Johny’s Fireball | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Camp Hope | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Santorini | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasing the Crown | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Evan Harlan | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bay Street Money | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Kabong | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Washington | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Native Thunder | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dubyuhnell | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hayes Strike | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Salute the Stars | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Lady | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Krickle | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | High Fashion Kate | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready for Trouble | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mila Junes | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bette Davis | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen’s Notice | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Idalou | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Windy Walk | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Natty Patty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wailua | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.