Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ellie Victorina | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Girl Named Jac | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lunita | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fainor’s Filets | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proper Attire | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Coal Mine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Commanding General | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guapo Again (ARG) | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Psychedelic Shack | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smitten Enough | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love You Much | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Live Fire | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Prince Pere | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stevethevandriver | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Southern Lad | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rad Paisley | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aequor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Cardo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Rico | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Thoughts | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Putin Online | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gabriel’s Wing | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Island d’Lite | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great Days Ahead | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Boss | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Back | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy the Kid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | E. P. Milton | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Communication Memo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raymond | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luv to Win | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Verb | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starburst | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Authority | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Heart | 4.00 | 16.3 | 31-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Opening | 1.60 | 16.4 | 31-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hub | 1.80 | 16.4 | 31-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Swagger | 3.00 | 16.4 | 31-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haizum | 6.00 | 16.5 | 31-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Kingdom | 10.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Grantham | 30.00 | 16.8 | 32-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chachaching | 30.00 | 17 | 32-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drifter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dats My Pharaoh | 30.00 | 17 | 32-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Josie Wales | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Determined Blue | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweeterthanwhiskey | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hateful | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Trillion | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Upswell | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Police Woman | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abstract Moment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady Ensign | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Divina Dulce | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Running River | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Jardani | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Tempestivo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Energy Efficient | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | We Dont Need Roads | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Blame the Tux | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Mosler Time | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldrush Hottie | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Whatsyourbigidea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tina Tina Tina | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goldrush Hottie | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Visby | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Can Do It | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lanetta | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navani | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.