Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 9, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ellie Victorina 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 A Girl Named Jac 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Lunita 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Fainor’s Filets 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Proper Attire 1.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Coal Mine 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Commanding General 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Guapo Again (ARG) 20.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Psychedelic Shack 10.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Smitten Enough 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Love You Much 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Live Fire 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Prince Pere 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Stevethevandriver 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Southern Lad 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rad Paisley 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Aristocratic 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Aequor 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Captain Cardo 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Smooth Rico 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Morning Thoughts 3.50 5 10-1
6 6 Addy’s Laddy T N T 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Putin Online 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gabriel’s Wing 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Island d’Lite 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Great Days Ahead 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Top Boss 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Power Back 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Jimmy the Kid 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 E. P. Milton 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Communication Memo 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Raymond 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Luv to Win 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Verb 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Starburst 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Full Authority 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Holding Pattern 12.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Good Heart 4.00 16.3 31-1
6 6 Grand Opening 1.60 16.4 31-1
7 7 Hub 1.80 16.4 31-1
4 4 Street Swagger 3.00 16.4 31-1
5 5 Haizum 6.00 16.5 31-1
2 2 Blue Kingdom 10.00 16.6 31-1
9 9 Lord Grantham 30.00 16.8 32-1
1 1 Chachaching 30.00 17 32-1
10 10 Drifter 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dats My Pharaoh 30.00 17 32-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Little Josie Wales 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Determined Blue 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Sweeterthanwhiskey 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Hateful 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Blue Trillion 10.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Upswell 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Police Woman 30.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Abstract Moment 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lady Ensign 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Divina Dulce 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Running River 1.60 1 2-1
1A 7 Jardani 1.60 2 4-1
3 2 Tempestivo 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Energy Efficient 2.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 We Dont Need Roads 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Blame the Tux 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Mosler Time 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Goldrush Hottie 0 0-1
3 3 Whatsyourbigidea 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tina Tina Tina 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Goldrush Hottie 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Visby 4.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 I Can Do It 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Lanetta 6.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Navani 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.