Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Out On Bail 0 0-1
Phoebeinwonderland 0 0-1
6 6 Richard Ave 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Out On Bail 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Soontobeking 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Phoebeinwonderland 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 Vamonos Vamonos 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Man From Malta 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dark Devil 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Betta Go Go Go 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Aleah Aleah 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Mr. Papagiorgio 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Brave Buck 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lcgolucky 30.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Cage Match 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jolly Miss Jill 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sister Linda 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Suspended Campaign 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Joey the Fish 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Meraviglioso 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Freddymo Factor 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Gringotts 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Towhead 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Amanda’s Folly 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Ocean Gateway 0.80 5.1 10-1
4 4 Taming the Tigress 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Swoop to Finish 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Quarrel 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Malleymoo 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Elysian Field 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Be Your Best (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Breath Away (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Final Denile 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Clancy Fancy 10.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Bosun 1.20 2 4-1
5 5 Boom Boom Thunder 12.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Z Dancer 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Free Folk 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Royal Browne 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 12 Looms Boldly 6.00 1 2-1
3 1 Run Curtis Run 5.00 1.3 2-1
1A 6 Let It Ride 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Factually Correct 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Paros 10.00 2.9 6-1
11 13 Life Changer 3.00 3.4 7-1
12 14 Emerald Forest 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 8 Mid Day Image 12.00 SCRATCH
2B 11 Stage Left 12.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Ikigai 30.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Senbei 2.50 SCRATCH
4 2 Wake Surf 6.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Son of a Birch 8.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Clear the Air 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Unmatched Wisdom 0 0-1
7 7 Military Road 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Foxhole 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Commander of Truth 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Unmatched Wisdom 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 True Connection 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Still a Soldier 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 First Trumpet 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Remember the Chief 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Direct Channel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sohana 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Five to Two 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Tough Love Torres 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Walk With Me 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mel’s Baby Sister 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Thirteen Red Flags 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 P Mutter Pickle 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Wisecracker 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Vin Santo 4.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Arco Augusta 15.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 Kid Kreesa 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sweet Tone 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Wo Hop 8.00 6.4 12-1
16 16 Irie Man 8.00 9 17-1
9 9 Triple Word Score 30.00 11.2 21-1
6 6 Fluorescent Bay 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Unaffected 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ballyheigue 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Frozen Four 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Solo Empire 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Az U Chase Me 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jhirsch 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Specialagentjonson 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.