Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Equate | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thanks Frank | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charge the Castle | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Erasmus | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lead Foot | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gimme Love | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Sharp Tiz | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Rice | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonovermontgomery | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perscripture | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Centrifugal Force | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Campbell Covers | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guatape | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Aoraki | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiffany | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maclean’s Lullaby | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daisy Duke | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grace On Grace | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flaming Glory | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starlight Bella | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Shinjuku | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Cleopatra | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Citizen Judy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Speed Collector | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Delicate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sir Ollie | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soaring Bird | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Queens Jules | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Figureti (CHI) | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fitzpatrick | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo Zip | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Herd Immunity | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into the Sunrise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sharper Gal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Miracle | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Map Needed | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Xtra Extraordinary | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Wild | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uome | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dice Arm | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Song Bridge | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bright Lady Day | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Elliott Moon | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Appeal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Artempus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | West Hollywood | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Django | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Thomas | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Phreddie Mac | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Juan Valdez | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Telescopic | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shallus | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bernin Hot | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Demetrius | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Border War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Call Me Cassius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sugar Hook | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cabernaydo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bookie Brent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Green Light | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kattath | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Kattath | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Global Sensation | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mobster Gun | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greener Pastures | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kahala | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All West | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Improbable Story | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy for Carmel | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flags Up | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Hawk | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurry Hurry | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Dot Yaht | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kissalot | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Next Level | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Raid | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lady Helena | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Gold Lightning | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Haze | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Looker | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Decision | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grecian Goddess | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cairo Street | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Helena | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Ellie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Cruella | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime Lady | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lookster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Takemetothebeach | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Liuzza | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Like a Saltshaker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Like a Saltshaker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Panic | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tilted Towers | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mac Daddy Too | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hocus | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lunar Module | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Efficiency | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Solidify | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timeless Bounty | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Best | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aleman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Court Snort | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.