Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tom and Jazzy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | National Generaux (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aurelian Man | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limited Heatwave | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Birth of Cool | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Catcher | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Night Beacon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel From Above | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runnin On Promises | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So There She Was | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Nea | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tembo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Granada Flavor | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mastermind | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flint Stroll | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay in the Game | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pink Ace | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Joker | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blonde Bombshell | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Control Function | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dendera | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deficit Maja | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chevy Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Des Doigts | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Love | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Big | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outgunned | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lettheliquortalk | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Topolina | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ang N Ash | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Certitude (FR) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eltonsingsanother | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheekiest | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yellow Sun Dress | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect in Gray | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sabres | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Castagna | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Still in It | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth as Butter | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil D’ Oro | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Luck | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | To Bevy’s | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grazen in the Sun | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Issa Court | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hotitude | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hopes | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Ride | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vronsky Feint | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anna’s Music | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.