Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 10, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tom and Jazzy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 National Generaux (IRE) 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Aurelian Man 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Limited Heatwave 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Birth of Cool 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Bee Catcher 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Night Beacon 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Angel From Above 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 5 Runnin On Promises 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 So There She Was 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Lucky Nea 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tembo 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Granada Flavor 1.40 1.2 2-1
1 1 Mastermind 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Flint Stroll 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Stay in the Game 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pink Ace 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 She’s a Joker 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Blonde Bombshell 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Control Function 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Dendera 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Deficit Maja 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Chevy Girl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Des Doigts 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Midnight Love 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 Winning Big 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Outgunned 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Lettheliquortalk 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Topolina 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ang N Ash 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Certitude (FR) 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Eltonsingsanother 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cheekiest 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Yellow Sun Dress 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Perfect in Gray 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sabres 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Castagna 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 I’m Still in It 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Smooth as Butter 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Devil D’ Oro 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Winning Luck 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 To Bevy’s 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Grazen in the Sun 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Issa Court 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Hotitude 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Big Hopes 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Sharp Ride 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Vronsky Feint 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Anna’s Music 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.