Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rh Querido Ruperto 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jrs Majestic Belle 5.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Tdz Wavetothequeen 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Cantcontainthepower 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Hotty Five Bar 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Soaracrossyourmind 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tf Rippin Candy 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Jj Lucky Jess 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Oak Hill Magic 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jrs Shiney Majestic 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jesscheerforblue 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Mr Secret Lee 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fast I Am 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Deep Diamond Tm 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Heza Gold Prize 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Runaway With Mee 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Political First 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Development 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Fidelity Tlc 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Jls Classy Beduino 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Open Me Champagne 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Louisiana Pretty 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Robbiesdashingleagle 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Guccia Fast Tee 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Blast of Blue Flame 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sheaza Hero 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Famous Hint 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 You Bux 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tg Classy Dasher 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Ima Truckle Feature 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Leaving Seperately 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mawnees Faith 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Open the Bam Corona 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dash Down the Line 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Jes Anotha Jambalaya 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Batty Boy 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Curlin Coal 4.50 6 11-1
7 7 All About Channing 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Im Fast N Famous 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Cr Black Chill 10.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Rm Patriot Patron 20.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Shakemup Kennadi 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Apollitical Blues 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tinys First Runaway 4.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Engine Victory 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jet Black Game 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 One Fine Beast 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sole Train 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Little Sweet One 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 G Nah Nah B 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Five Bar Patriot 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Rh Valentina Flash 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Mother’s Day S.) – Mother’s Day S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bbs Mooninchick 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jeg Fascination 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mp Adored 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Jm Texas Blood 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 One Delightful Tee 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Patty Wagon Train 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Southern Seis 10.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Wild Blue Debutant 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 All About Rogue 10.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 One Sweet Rogue 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jessabluesman 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Hez Hunters Rogue 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Rogue From the South 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fast Gypsy 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Jess Louisiana Boo 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Midnight Biscuit 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Good Lookin Patriot 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Changing the Game 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jess Tie Your Shoos 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gran Corazon 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Oh My Fortunes 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Jp Storm Eagle 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Foose You Fast 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Enstrom 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Blackjack Tlc 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Seis No More 5.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Eagles Up 8.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.