Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Brigade 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Heat 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Boundfortrouble 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Nervana 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Dude Affright 30.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Zaddy 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Grey Shadow 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Motivo 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Las Olas 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Battle of Dover 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hari 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Awesome for Sure 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Fast Chad 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Summer Storm Stric 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Darth 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Who Lady Who 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Inablink 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 I Love Ireland 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Lucevan La Stelle 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Joyful Eliza (GB) 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Jess’s Moment 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Corrin Peak 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Storm Brave 1.60 1 2-1
9 9 Boca Boy 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Boldness 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Belts ‘n Brooks 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Golden Tone 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 B G Lee 30.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Storm P 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Menelik 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Undalay 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barrage 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 The Mar 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Mr Brizel 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Opposites Attract 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Curlin’s Kitten 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Just for Luck 1.80 6.9 13-1
6 6 Globes 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big City 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 From the Clouds 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Go Irish 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Quatrocento 15.00 4 7-1
1 1 Fiveeyesonskystars 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Come to Papa 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Agent Mor 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Shadow Surge 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marshmallow Queen 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Demar’s Legacy 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Miss Sayely 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Qualificata 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gallop d’Hermes 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Amy the Butcher 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Perfect Shances 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Bullet 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Unchained Elaine 8.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 My Emmy 10.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Good Long Cry 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 You Need Me 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Bunratty Manor (IRE) 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Bois Blanc 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Ramsey Pond 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 The Queens M G 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Kip the Distance 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 China Blue 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cape Trafalgar 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Toxic Gray 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Big Martini 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Turbo 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bron and Brow 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Luni Sima 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Awesome Strong 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Royal Palm Juvenile S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Reach for the Rose 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gabaldon 30.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Enterdadragon 30.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Garden of War 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Madroc 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 I Know I Know 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Governor Sam 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Classy War 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Bright Skittle 6.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Incanto (IRE) 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Makeit to Cheyenne 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Raise the Bar 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.