Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Milano 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Eye On the Candy 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Entrust 1.60 4.1 8-1
4 4 Wonder Water 10.00 5 10-1
3 3 Hachure 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Orocovix 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Afterneath 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Kapatude 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bunny Hop 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Kapadokya 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sun Streaming 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Seap 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Frosty Maya 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Momentous Miss 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 Attached 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bucchera 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Nicky Jolene 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Uncle Irish 8.00 1 2-1
2 1 Uncaptured Storm 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 5 Mose Perfect 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 You Must Chill 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 8 Naked and Famous 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 6 Dust Devil 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 7 Group Hug 8.00 6.3 12-1
1A 4 Brilliant Chase 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magical Monarch 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Sheer Delight 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Mister Agent 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Eddie Felson 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Not Thistimerandy 4.50 6 11-1
2 2 Tubtimsiam 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Moonflyer 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Summerstateofmind 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Holonui 2.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Box of Rockets 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Great Googlymoogly 30.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Vibrant Force 50.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Skylar’s Brother 10.00 13.6 26-1
16 16 Speranzas Will 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bold Talk 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Elusive Image 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Watch Out World 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Happy Jaunt 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Laddie Dance 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rye Diggitydog 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cousin Giorgos 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Super Needy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Banditsgoldenchild 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 King’s River 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Medagooch 2.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Restless 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Burningupthedough 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Bruder 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sisyphus 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 El Divino Nino 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Divine Child 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dee Jay 20.00 1 2-1
11 11 Brother Brad 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Fun Lovin Criminal 6.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Sagrada Ray 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Unanimous Consent (GB) 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Jackie A 15.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Our Hoisted Mast 30.00 13.3 25-1
15 15 Flying Scotsman 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bodecream 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 U S Constitution 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Samyaza 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lookin for Justice 50.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hoku 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Gliding Afleet 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bonded 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gunslinger (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Determind Princess 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Grammy Girl 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Faire Plaisir 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Go Sherry Go 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Regaled 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 By the Glass 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 You Can’t Win 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princessofthenorth 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ginger Girl 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Recognize Me 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Memento Mi 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Now Yus Cant Leave 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Determined Lilly 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Louise Brooks 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lakeside Getaway 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Seafarer 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.