Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flathead Finale 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Classified 8.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 She’s Not a Joke 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Andrea Diane 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Line Runner 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shan’s Quest 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Westgate Road 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Burn Jakey Burn 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Super Renzo 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Da Ringo 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 I’m an Oak 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Gabriel’s Legend 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Ore Mine 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tee Off Time 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dawson’s Storm 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Mc Cougar 4.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Nave 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 Killian 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Stroller Boy 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Surprise Road Trip 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Jupiter Mission 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Suburban Prince 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 One Time Gem 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Allo Enry 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Galactic Empire 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Americain Joey 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Chisholm Trail 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Fake Solution 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Ginger Rules 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Big Hearted Factor 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Papa Jojo 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rockin Boots 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Edgy Lover 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Fleetwood Smack 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Nice One Julio 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lets Rock N Stroll 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Stumpy’s Love Song 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Kickin’ Charlie 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Oxford Outing 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sincerely Mine 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kissed a Cadet 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Wicklow Laddie 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Casa Limon 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Do It Like Kevin 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Subsequent Event 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 La Fee’s Secret 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Money Ain’t Enough 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sing for Ur Supper 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Goldfinch S.) – Goldfinch S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Legadema 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Managing Mischief 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Barbsdreamcometrue 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Musical Diva 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Wild Bout Hilary 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tipsy Tammy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mo’s Mojo 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hulen 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Colonel Klink 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Mahomes 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Heritage Park 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 All Over Oliver 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Ship Boss 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Brilliant Colors 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Willet Kinda Night 5.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Milton Street 8.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Koselio 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.