Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ghostly Act | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Bryce Run | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defensor Fortis | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maxville | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vols | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Red | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky N Smart | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stay On the Fence | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Vienna | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Haywood | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Immelmann | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Travelin’ Show | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Lake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invincible Molly (GB) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elegant | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soho | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She Is Romantic | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beau Soleil | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We’ll Do It Live | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Satellite Heart | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Panda Peak | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petit Filet | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Rainbow | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rose Maddox | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spicybug | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Recinto Rompere | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Regret | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alternate Rock | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Precision Strike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battle Cruiser | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Gold | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kobe W | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navajo Warrior | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Max | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sir Pistolero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ferrariano | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What a Dude | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seventeen Black | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derecho Dandy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quagmire Magic | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Mission | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Disobey | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamming Eddy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giver Not a Taker | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andy Can U Hear Me | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | California Tiger | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Horn | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belly Up | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seattle Breakout | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bronko Nagurski | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Upward Mobility | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Barbara S.) – Santa Barbara S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Rhapsody (IRE) | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Illhaveanotherkiss | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Comanche Country (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vincero Grande | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milagre Do Sol | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Customer List (FR) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.