Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 11, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moonbright 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kavala 1.40 1.2 2-1
1 1 Helluva Holiday 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Golden Train 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Chrome’s Angel 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Doodle Dandy 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Basketball Jones 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Secret Storm 20.00 4 7-1
5 5 Computer Hacker 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bandero 2.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Robitaille 6.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Collaborative 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Moment of Zen 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Ensign 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Meko Makee 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Always a Way 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Cornwall 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Hyper Awakening 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Needs Fulfilled 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silent Miracle 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Speedy Hans 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Casanova Kitten 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 C C’s Kingdom 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lapochka 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Spring Mountain 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Soulmate 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chromeplated Heart 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kantbackoff 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Swirling Dancer 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Tempora 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lady Eva 1.80 3.6 7-1
4 4 Big Ginger 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Perfect Provision 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Destin Night 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Nikita’s Gem 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Villi Olento 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Cozy Curlin Kitten 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Zeena Swift 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Majestic Appeal 4.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Laney Grace 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Arctic Blonde 15.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Rohese 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kin’s Concerto 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Princess Mayfair 10.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Cinnamon Bits 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Metaphysical 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Wildfire 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Firing Bullets 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Lunch With Bernie 8.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Ready for Shirl 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Right Now 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rondure 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 South Bend 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Secret Reserve 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Border Town 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Luckman 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Saratoga Vision 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Nice Ace 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quiet Maddelena 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 English Biscuit 2.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 More Savvy 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Call Me Brooke 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Charlotte’s Silver 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Mi Tormenta 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Sweet Finale 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Miss Bobbit 4.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Natasha’s Bizniz 12.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Devil in Her Heart 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.