Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Iridescent 1.40 1 2-1
6 7 Collected Special 3.00 1.9 4-1
1A 4 Remember the Name 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 3 Stormquist 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 In a Minute 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Retail Man 12.00 SCRATCH
4 5 Muazarah 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Khali Magic 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Cinderella’s Cause 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Harlan’s Bond 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Saratoga Kisses 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Racing Colors 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Amity Island 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Everyoneloveslinda 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Starship Defiant 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 My Flicker 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Frau Diablo 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Mosienko 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 I’m Buzzy 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Harvard 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mo Rewards 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Best Bet 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Magia Nera 2.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Nineteen Oysters 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Pineapple Man 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ski Country 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Big Save 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Linarite 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Coolcalm Collected 1.60 1.2 2-1
1 1 River Tay (IRE) 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Will Be Famous 2.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Roja Ligera 20.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Maggie 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Devilly 15.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Quick Power Nap 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Ben’s Sunny Island 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Latest Edition 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Atmidnight 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Be There 8.00 1 2-1
15 16 Don Vino Vici 4.50 1.5 3-1
11 11 Big Night Out 5.00 2.2 4-1
13 13 Pujol 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Dangerous Driver 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Conniving 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 6 Piccata Prince 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Guile 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Noble One 30.00 10.5 20-1
3 2 No Surrender 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Bolt d’Plata 4.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Pappou’s Laugh 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Transcendental 5.00 SCRATCH
5 4 States United 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 El Alacran 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 15 Comanche Peak (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rollin in Dough 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Starquist 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Heavyweight Champs 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Independent Paul 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 On the Hill 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Camm’ Duke 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Rock the Weekend 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Graywing 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Soaring Softly S.) – Soaring Softly S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Pipsy (IRE) 0 0-1
Pipsy (IRE) 0 0-1
13 13 Marco T. 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Amidst Waves 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Independenceavenue 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Kodiac Wintergreen (IRE) 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Kairyu (IRE) 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Pipsy (IRE) 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Tiger Belle (IRE) 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Golden Ghost (GB) 10.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Artemis Sound 15.00 6 11-1
11 11 Caress 20.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 El Terreno 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Baraye 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Value Area 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Buttercream Babe 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Unaudited 8.00 1 2-1
15 15 Charming Jim 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Air Force Cross 8.00 2.6 5-1
13 13 Road Soda 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Malibu Margarita 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Feline Treasure 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Podere 20.00 8.8 17-1
14 14 Your Mission 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Awesome Force 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Impulsive Spending 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 In My Shadow 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 All Good Here 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 Unaffected 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Wisecracker 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Dancinginthepark 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Specialagentjonson 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.