Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yasur 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gowokegobroke 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Mr. Lefty 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Jake’s Affection 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Xy Face 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Zaino 1.80 5.4 10-1
1 1 Black Echo 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Not a Prayer 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Charge Off 0.60 1 2-1
5 5 Ragman 30.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Remerton 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Atomico 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Castle Born 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Noble Hero 30.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 No Plebeian 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cacique Abarrio 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Secret Lover 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 My Noble Knight 20.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Ekati King 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Top Maverick 1.40 SCRATCH
1 1 First Slew 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bernardo’s Legacy 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sir Banana Brian 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Vito’s Brother 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Mister Cooper 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Nippon 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Vinicio 30.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Awesome Wind 4.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 El Bailador 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Krabi 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Harlan’s Legacy 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Worldly Beauty 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Pacific Princess 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Don’t Get Pickled 3.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Sals Dream Girl 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Star of the Beast 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Zack’s Mysterio 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Fastest 1.20 4.6 9-1
4 4 D Flash 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Boy o’ Boy 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Rocky Chitu 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Embrace the Dream 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lincoln Park 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fairhopecurly 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tiffany Gold 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Skinny Cosmo 30.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bedrock Birdie 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Quimichis 1.60 4.5 8-1
4 4 Lucy’s Cookie 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Fast Motion 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Olga 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Mama Maria 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Marthamaywhovier 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Corinth 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Miss Ucrania 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Euphima (ARG) 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Great Analogy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Drum Roll 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mistica Traviesa (CHI) 15.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Moanas Power 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Huntingcoco 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Talkin Tipsy 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Ticker Tape Home 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 David’s Rose 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sonicus 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Olympic Prank 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 My Lady James 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.