Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gabriel Seven 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Dream River 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ascendance 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Kick Startness 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Kingdom Force 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Get Like Mike 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Rubys Flash 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bold Look 0 0-1
7 6 Determined First 8.00 1 2-1
2 1 Lute Warm 2.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Talonnade 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Unfolding Beauty 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 10 Bold Look 30.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Mischief Motion 4.50 3.9 7-1
11 11 My Blessing 15.00 5.6 11-1
1A 12 Cynthia June 30.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Midnight Prowler 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Makia 3.50 SCRATCH
10 9 Colby’s Candle 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Steam Knot 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mad Banker 0 0-1
6 6 Workislife 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 American War Hero 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Derbyness 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Goodbye Note 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bet the Line 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Mad Banker 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 White Series 10.00 1 2-1
14 14 Yangarra 3.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Super Needy 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Speranzas Will 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Watch Out World 3.50 7.5 14-1
4 4 Unswayed 6.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 All Fruits Ripe 30.00 10 19-1
5 5 Cousin Giorgos 20.00 10.4 20-1
13 13 Is It Five 30.00 11.3 21-1
7 7 True Account 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bold Talk 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Eleleus 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Great Kisser 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Fierce Competition 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Little Cagefighter 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Happy Jaunt 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I Had Enough 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Omar Comin 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Money Room 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Whatahardmanfidead 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Veselsky 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Verbier 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dashing d’Artagnan 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Homecoming King 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Angel Art 0 0-1
4 4 Angel Art 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sweet Shugs 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Lady Serenity 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Dissolute 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Winked 3.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Hekate 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Wonder Girl 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Sultry Sally H 30.00 7.7 14-1
14 14 Run Around Slew 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Wise and Elegant 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 West Abbott 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nuwanda 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Rumint 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Girl Ginger 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Shuangxi (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lilly Simone 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Angelofcanterbury 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Northern Glow 1.40 2.8 5-1
4 4 Rowsie Express 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Bella Paloma 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Honor the Truth 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Marley’s Ghost 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ginger Girl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Rarified Flair 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Maryland Moon 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Langlee Avenue 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Rockland Express 30.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Bail Out 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Flash Is Back 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 K P All Systems Go 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Boca Guy 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jeeper 1.40 SCRATCH
11 11 Good Knight Nile 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Class Wizard 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Thataway 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Microphone (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.