Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonlit Sonata 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 El Rey Rey 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Final Boss 1.60 2.9 5-1
3 3 Grogu 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Jack Kerouac 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ivan the Great 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Soi Ngern 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Timty 1.20 1.3 2-1
5 5 El Ondeado 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sir Black Shadow 20.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Frisco 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flavius 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 So I’m Told 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Silardi 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Marks Hip 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Mynumerouno (AUS) 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Atomic Drop 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Lazaro Barrera S.) – Lazaro Barrera S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ball Don’t Lie 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Heart Headed 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Tapalo 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Tessuto 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Give Me the Lute 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grazed 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Proof He Rides 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Disko Tribute 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Barristan The Bold (GB) 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Paul Vincents Poem 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Raising Silver 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Epione 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Moonlight Tryst 2.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Anza Sky 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Betty Pack 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Sky Sailing 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Indy’s Star 0 0-1
4 4 Freedom Lass 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Dream Princess 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Dolly May (IRE) 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Indy’s Star 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ice Queen 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Zeyaraat 5.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Councilwoman Jilly 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Worthy of Magic 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Good With People 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Man O Rose 0.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Lovesick Blues 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Principe Carlo 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Kingdom Heart 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Escape Route 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mister Iceman 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Special Club 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Don’t Hit Me Bash 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Western Grit 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Capital Outlay 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Finners Goldnsense 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Keep It Coming 10.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Only Alleged 6.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Chispa Roja 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Stephortless 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.