Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonlit Sonata | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Rey Rey | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Boss | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grogu | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Kerouac | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ivan the Great | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soi Ngern | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timty | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Ondeado | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Black Shadow | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frisco | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flavius | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So I’m Told | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silardi | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marks Hip | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mynumerouno (AUS) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atomic Drop | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Lazaro Barrera S.) – Lazaro Barrera S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ball Don’t Lie | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Headed | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapalo | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tessuto | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Give Me the Lute | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grazed | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proof He Rides | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disko Tribute | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paul Vincents Poem | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Raising Silver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epione | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Tryst | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anza Sky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betty Pack | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Sailing | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indy’s Star | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Lass | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Princess | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly May (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy’s Star | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Queen | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zeyaraat | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Councilwoman Jilly | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worthy of Magic | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good With People | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man O Rose | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Principe Carlo | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom Heart | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Escape Route | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mister Iceman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Special Club | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Hit Me Bash | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Grit | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Outlay | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finners Goldnsense | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep It Coming | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Only Alleged | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chispa Roja | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stephortless | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.