Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 War Signal 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sedburys Ghost 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 French Horn 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Kokomo 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Wagstaff 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Study Buddy (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zodiac Beach 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ami’s Girl 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Silent Patsy 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 I’m Tenacious 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Get My Drift 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Goingtoaruba 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Coins Unlimited 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Nadezhda 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Admiral Nelson 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bedtime 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Commander Worsley 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sol de Verano 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Alta Calibre 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Winterberry 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moon Landing 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Classic Dancer 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Good Rapport 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Prince of Ayrshire 12.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Wilberforce 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Enchant Me 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sir Samuel 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Yorkville 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Quiet Intent 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Buck’s Fizz 0 0-1
9 9 Buck’s Fizz 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Myra’s Boy 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Thefrontiersman 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Bearing Down 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Criminal Intent 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Thor’s Cause 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Oh Peanuts 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Caught Speeding 8.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Its Time to Shine 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chamber Music 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Arashi 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Fighter in the Win 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Piper’s Factor 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Winston Blue 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Read On 3.00 3 6-1
11 11 Cupid’s Claws 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Flawless Ruler 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Roscar 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Steak and Cheese 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Peja Du 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jessamine Hill 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Legal Catch 2.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Lucky Romance 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Tour the City 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mo’ Spresso 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Rolling Along 3.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Bourbon North 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Coprolite 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gem Quality 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 War Strategy 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Road to Versailles 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Fabled Prince 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Coherence 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Calusa Donnie 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Posturing 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chancel 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sunspear 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Commander Joe 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Maximus Momentus 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jmr Speedy Escape 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Reload Bullet 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sea to Air 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Just Start Me Up 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Heezespeedy 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.