Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bb Coronas 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cheaper Than Gas 8.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Tdz Perrysroyalpain 5.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Jj Sir Runaway 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Lil Baby Boy 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 A Kool Design 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ajs Legacy 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 El Corona Girl 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Shootfirsttalklater 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Jess Tiz an Ocean 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tk B Zoomin 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rosesrubiesnrogues 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Pony Boy Corona 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Load the Wagon Train 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Zoom Bucky Bang 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Energy Paint 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Romeo Rogue 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Jj Jess Goes By 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mp Splashing Pilot 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cc Stormy Nite 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Fm Southern Train 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ttt Rare Chick 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Jj Forever Louisiana 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Wild Blue Ivory 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Loveyoutothemoon 6.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Jess a Lil Fasta 4.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Mr E Vision 15.00 9 17-1
4 4 Im On First Man 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Down to Raise Atoast 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Aguila Buchona 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Royal Secret Fire 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Kavoni 2.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 Power Game 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Patriotic T Star 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Epoch 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lil Heza Blue 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Jazz de Capi 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Tbt Diego 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jess Deluxe 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rogues Celebration 10.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Cinco Dos Adios Tee 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Marla Cartel Angel 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Tdz Bambis La Cartel 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Rl Train for Blue 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Aj Taylors Red Train 4.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Lilenginethatcould 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Dlj Pilotos Girl 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess Shalish Blue 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Heza Rip 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 The Knockout Power 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Power of Faith 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Bjs Five Bar 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Diamond Blood 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 I Fly by You 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Sandstone 10.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 B a Lady 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Julies Lil Rogue 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 All Aboarde 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Shezafasfreighttrain 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Fancy Paints 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bd First Eagle 15.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Down for a Corona 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Ajs Louisiana Chick 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dasha Cartel 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Jb Paint Me Follies 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Blood Kiss 12.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Freightlicious 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Azzul 0 0-1
8 8 Mr Blues Jammin 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Super Chewy Mickey 15.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Ainthetheone 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Ivan White Dash 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Rio Rojo Ranchero 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Lil Poppa Stopper 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Azzul 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Konviction 8.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Black Magic Pilot 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Toast to the Eagle 4.50 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.