Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Flame | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Promises | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Sweet | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katerina Ristova | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | The Sugars | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luckforyou | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burner Account | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Newsdley | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perpetual Praise | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Voleuse | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Cara | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Hazel | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ashburn Alley | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Focus Pocus | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Better Be Smart | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy’s Smile | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top of the Table | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mommasgottagun | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devils Arrow | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Troubled Luck | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pinstripepizzo | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s Awesome | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Willful Desire | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Annmarie | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everlys Girl | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Karen | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Sophia | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Panther | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mon Petit Chou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gav’s Dream Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cisney | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Golden Degree | 1.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | That’sthefactjack | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Starts Now | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Shade of Pale | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Classic Cara | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Jayce and Liam | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Purrfect Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | She’s Always Rosie | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Mexican Sugar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Lion’s Miracle Mo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Treaty Obligation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Light the Way | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arteta | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diver | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Mischief | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Original Idea | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Donegal Momentum | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drunk On Sake | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cage Match | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Direct Channel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | From Hello | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Next On Stage | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Baroness Bourbon | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Vita Sofia | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keep It Sexy | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Karen’s Honor | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Call Her Bluff | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Sister Nell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Dutchess | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Lady Jasmine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dance With Me Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Leadership Ability | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Dame Catherine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Soca | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Blenheim Baby | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Handle On You | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Book of Wisdom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormin Heist | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Houdini’s Bride | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teresa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Babi Dreams | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sonia’s Flame | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Til There Was You | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Six O Three | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dramatic Effect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Reya | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.