Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Delightful Flame 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Moonlight Promises 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Triple Sweet 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Katerina Ristova 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 The Sugars 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Luckforyou 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Burner Account 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Newsdley 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Perpetual Praise 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Voleuse 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Foxy Cara 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Big Hazel 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ashburn Alley 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Focus Pocus 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Better Be Smart 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Happy’s Smile 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Top of the Table 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Mommasgottagun 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Devils Arrow 4.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Troubled Luck 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Pinstripepizzo 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s Awesome 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Willful Desire 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Awesome Annmarie 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Everlys Girl 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Beautiful Karen 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Happy Sophia 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Mongolian Panther 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Mon Petit Chou 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gav’s Dream Girl 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Addressable Market (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
11 10 Cisney 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 11 Golden Degree 1.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 That’sthefactjack 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Starts Now 2.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Shade of Pale 1.80 SCRATCH
9 8 Classic Cara 20.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Jayce and Liam 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Purrfect Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 She’s Always Rosie 1.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Mexican Sugar 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Lion’s Miracle Mo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Treaty Obligation 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Light the Way 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Arteta 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Diver 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Deputy Mischief 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Original Idea 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Donegal Momentum 4.50 7.5 14-1
10 10 Drunk On Sake 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Cage Match 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Direct Channel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 From Hello 6.00 1 2-1
6 5 Next On Stage 15.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Baroness Bourbon 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 La Vita Sofia 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Keep It Sexy 30.00 8.8 17-1
1A 16 Karen’s Honor 8.00 9.4 18-1
14 14 Call Her Bluff 6.00 10.1 19-1
1 11 Sister Nell 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Sweet Dutchess 1.80 SCRATCH
3 2 Lady Jasmine 4.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Dance With Me Babe 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Leadership Ability 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Dame Catherine 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Soca 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Blenheim Baby 4.50 SCRATCH
11 10 Handle On You 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Book of Wisdom 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stormin Heist 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Houdini’s Bride 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Teresa 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Babi Dreams 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Sonia’s Flame 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Til There Was You 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Six O Three 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Dramatic Effect 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Wicked Reya 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.