Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sant’ Antimo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Lore | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Huntington | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Pursuit | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dontkissdaminister | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Criminal Defense | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enduring Spirit | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empress Julia | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lebowski | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquering Cat | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bob’s Carrot | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patriotic Jerrell | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Beatle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Sundance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pro Oxidant | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go West | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chattalot | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backside Buzz | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Kentucky | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chipofftheoldblock | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhapsody | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Makeup | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Parola Sicura | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Lady | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twirl Around | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Spun | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rhapsody | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bobbie Sox | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empires Princess | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Keepsake | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Breeze | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Normanjito (FR) | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sandra D | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Antique Silver | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | These Apples | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Royal Flower | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Musical Prayer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder of You | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theroanrunner | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosia Bay | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edge of Town | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Note | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baytown Lovely | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Chanisa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Symphony | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Almond Fudge | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Lovely | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Sass | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Splendid | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Calhouna | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lark’s Mischief | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champlin | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lofty Adjudicator | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Again | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Taxes | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swot Analysis | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Floki’s Flight | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Radical Right | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arro Smash | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Escape | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Elliptic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Sweet Emotion | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tandi Sue | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Arodeoqueen | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greyhound Station | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corri Felice | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mor Happy Hours | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Leven | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Evermore | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where Is She | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.