Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Always Connected 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Bravo Regina 1.60 1.5 3-1
2 2 Chaveta 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Out of Luck 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 D’oro Baby 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 La Santa Clara 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sweet Summer Love 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Maximum Emily 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Dark Dutchess 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Home Town Fav 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Red River Susi 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Hunny Bunnyness 2.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Picardy 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Wind Breaker 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Harmonizing 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Happy Tappy Tim 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fancy Princess 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Raise Your Game 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Murumbi 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Illusion of Hope 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sweet Heidelberg 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Nurse Rachett 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Common Prosperity 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Nanga Parbat (GB) 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Art Handler 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Pop Socks 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Principe 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Curteis 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Seeker 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Wonder Wonderland 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lead Off 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shackled Love 1.60 3.3 6-1
6 6 City Rage 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bahama Channel 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Stardust Ziggy 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Zipper Zapper 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Jade’s Dream 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Just Nod and Smile 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Intrepid’s Legacy 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Great Kisser 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Uncle Chrome 10.00 5 10-1
3 3 Big Tone C 4.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Golden Al 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Z Races 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Gambe Forte 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Count Daddy 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Easy Day 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ego Man 1.60 1.1 2-1
4 4 Chief Ron 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Silver Style 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Overly Critical 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Good Juju 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Albertano 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Irish Riviera 1.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 Lookin for Justice 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Spectrier 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 He’s a Shooter 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Alta Fox 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Cape Hedge 10.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.