Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rf Rampaging Tide 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lassie Fast Dash 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Inseperable Jet 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Magic Marley B 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Lynns Piloto Magic 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Rh Double Six 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tates Tee Cos 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Corona Leaving Hail 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Imperial Train 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Showmedafreight 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tg Mount Coup 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Coronas Sunrise 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Sheza Patriot Cartel 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gias Mooin Eagle 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Jj Corona Jess 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tippin Aint Easy 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ms Coco Mp 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Eye B Jammin 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Rh Primis Sixes 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Tres Episode 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Dlj Rosa Eagle 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Streakin Aces 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Political Darling 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Wine Not 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mp Latin Lover 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rf Imperial Choice 1.80 1 2-1
10 10 Marcy Joe 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Carlitos Gamer 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Jess So Blessed 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Mark 536 4.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Creole Queen 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Bella Breez 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Dominant Blood 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Golden Eagle B 10.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Painted Rusty 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flashy Bp 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Five Bar Presence 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Featured Prospect 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Mighty Pocket Rocket 15.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Caliente Operator 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Louisiana Bru 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sheza Fast Jesse 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Cartel Roses Z 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 One Fast B 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Seperate Em Fast 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rf Gold Heart Duck 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Billies Runnin Gold 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Special Star Pilot 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Open Bills Corona 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Free Guns 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Avl Open Flower Jess 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Franny B Dove 20.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Tf Tees Dashin Toast 12.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Lets Go Two 10.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Bayou Moon 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 This Train Flies 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Electric Cartel 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Jess a Wild Candy 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lightemupwithcharm 2.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Pirates Fast Cash 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Miss Apolitical 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Jw Corona Dressed 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Jrs Majestic Pop Pop 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Easy Jumpn Jet 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Five Bar Jess Cartel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sylvi Can Too 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 The Blood Rose 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Jrs Sheza Corona 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Corona Ace Train 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Eloquenz 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Ab Sassy Corona 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Ks Eagle Quick 12.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Bd Wicked Quick 15.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Jp La Belica 20.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Sizzlin Cartel Blue 10.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.