Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Class Play 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Cajun Prime 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Glory Glory 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Kip the Distance 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 China Blue 15.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Breezey Z 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Lady Collected 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bringer of Rain 0 0-1
1 1 Chapalu 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Guillaume 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Bringer of Rain 1.60 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bryce Canyon 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 El Socio 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Pound Green 2.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Coach Abernathy 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Power Humor 0 0-1
2 2 Power Humor 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 The Skipper Too 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Scar 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Float On 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Maclin 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Noble Drama 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diamonds for Lily 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Okay Fine 1.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Andie One 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Mad Madame Mim (IRE) 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Lady Azteca 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Val’s Gal 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 My Royal Vow 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vincey Girl 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Spicy Guacamole 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Ride On Cupid 30.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Tinki Abarrio 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Cap Ferrat 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Secret Revenge 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Laurie Blue 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Dream Diamond 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bluefield 0.60 1 2-1
3 3 Cousin Kristi 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Hihellohowareyou 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Rosie’s Halo 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Starship Nala 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 She’s Outta Here 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Starship Sunrise 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nikee Kan 1.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Tator Made 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Chaina 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Clay Soldier 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Gitana 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Defended 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frisson 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Yeager 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Dropkick Murphy 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Gabagool 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Wine Empire 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Katriel 30.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Down in the Valley 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 King Skull 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.