Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Theodora Grace 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bandits Warrior 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Translate 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Speak Your Mind 6.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Fast Lani 4.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Smooth Pebble 2.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Imnotonetocomplain 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Lunita 30.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Olive Kat 8.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Golden Can 2.50 8.9 17-1
5 5 Hipnotizada 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Communication Memo 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Strugar 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Kadri 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Clem Labine 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Icing 30.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 B West 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Jester’s Song 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Top Boss 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Anoint 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Esperannna 4.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Peyton Elizabeth 10.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Bound by Destiny 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Diva Ready 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Preparefortakeoff 15.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Joya Del Sur 1.40 8.8 17-1
6 6 True Blue Pearl 5.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Mo Tough 30.00 10.8 20-1
11 11 Clockstrikestwelve 2.00 11.6 22-1
4 4 The Haunted Room 30.00 12.4 23-1
1 1 Isabella’s Glory 20.00 12.8 24-1
3 3 Cupids Dream 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Buckin’ Great 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Goodnightngodbless 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Overly Dramatic 1.60 3.7 7-1
1 1 Susan’s Mule 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Dwelling Legacy 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Kilo Road 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Phantom Smoke 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cheers for Kitten 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Charging Aero 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Valiant Vinny 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Tenax 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 E. P. Milton 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Cash Now 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Dunphy 30.00 9 17-1
4 4 Star Shopping 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Goodgirl Badhabits 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Fuhgeddaboudit 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Night Cap 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Riley G 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Our Liberty Belle 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Freccia d’Argento 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Royal Whisper 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Bourbon Wildcat 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden Heart 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Downtown Katie 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Parish Lane 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Circle Home 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Strand of Gold 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Doesn’thurttoflirt 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Lusty 4.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Beautiful Gorgeous 30.00 6 11-1
10 10 Take a Break 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Priyanka 6.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Belle of Rights 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 G’s Fireball 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Something Silly 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Missy Boss 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Flitter 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Search 1.20 5 9-1
4 4 Voodoo Priestess 6.00 5 10-1
3 3 Super Money 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.