Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Leslie’s Humor 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Justthefactsjack 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Coif 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Shiny Lure 8.00 4 7-1
1 1 Patty Brown Eyes 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Refuse to Lose 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Breath Away (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sacred Wish 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Elysian Field 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Malleymoo 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Swoop to Finish 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Gone and Forgotten 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Signal From Noise 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Malibu Moonshine 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Be Your Best (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Deputy Connect 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lucky Lucky Luke 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 8 Phantom Jewel 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Opportunity Set 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Papi On Ice 5.00 4.3 8-1
1A 7 Flashy Alex 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Game Misconduct 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bobby the Tank 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Frannie Lew 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Moonlit Weekend 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Poseidon’s Mist 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Dolce Sera 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Alley’s Song 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Pauciloquent 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jay’s Love 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bustino Santino 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Barron’s Bounce 4.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Perno 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Within View 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Dunedin Causeway 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Mithridates 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Solo Empire 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Power Ten 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Somama Beach 30.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Hottakejake 15.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Miztergrandcentral 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Light Man 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ten Cent Town 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Locke and Key 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 2 Little Luca 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 8 Fortune’s Nephew 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Thank You Jon 15.00 5.7 11-1
1A 6 Bronx Bomber 5.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Writer’s Regret 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chocolate Shake 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Cajun Casanova 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Prince of Joy 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Honorary Degree 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Anything Pazible 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Joker Boy 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Datesfreedom 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Mount Travers 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Big Everest (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
1 3 Pioneering Spirit 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 1 Turf King (IRE) 6.00 2 4-1
4 2 Grand Sonata 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Kalik 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Call Me Harry 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Maker’s Candy 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Disarmed 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 10 Stolen Base 15.00 8 15-1
8 7 Cloudy 10.00 9.4 18-1
2B 13 Synthesis 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Sheriff Bianco 4.50 SCRATCH
2 11 Laughing Boy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spoken Bluntly 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Spoofy 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Boss Tweed 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Four Eyes 20.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 You Beaut 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Fratellino 30.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Qorokwe 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Excalibrate 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Launch Control 1.40 SCRATCH
2 2 Casona 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Twisted Whisker 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Price Is Truth 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.