Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sea Train B 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Jp La Fresita 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Jrs Toasted Cartel 12.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 First Class Piloto 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Fox On a Cliff 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Envie 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Rl Krafty Wish 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Shez Ablue Cartel 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Imflyingbyyou 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Pata Piloto 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First Down Court 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hint of Rainy 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tg Star Dasher 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Ttt Sweet Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ss Floor Is Lava 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 A Kool Zanorio 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Xodus 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Meagan All Over 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Air Cav Piloto 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Apolitical Rogue 2.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Making Seperate Ways 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sweet and Classic 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Jw First Contendere 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Jess Hes Temptting 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blues Little Loko 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Elvis Gotta B Fast 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tlc Jess Bye 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Strut for Petes Sake 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mamaigotthis 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Mp Thornado 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 The Fiscal Flyer 5.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Bella Can Fly 6.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Rogues Black Magic 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Chihuahua 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Rbd Lu Boor Ee Ka 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ks Grand Kiss 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fletch My Alcohol 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Never Bleu 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Jj Coronas Star 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ferarri Rogue 3.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Rio Rojo Negras 4.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Chloes Prize 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Toasta Patriot Chick 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Blew Duck 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tf Whatever It Takes 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tuckers Prize 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Onemorewildtrain 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 One Dashing Dove 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 San Lorenzeaux 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 One Fast Perry 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Eagle Speed 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Corona Blues 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Diamondonatrain 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Maggi Mae 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Martinis Cartel 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rogues Gold Eagle 2.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Mean Tweet 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Zactex Centenario 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 American Clown 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Louisiana Power 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Miss Tee Winning Cos 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Ruse Hint 8.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Tm Back to Perry 15.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Jess a Blu Streak 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Derby) – Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Sweet Sugar 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Woopaa123 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 B Second Cowboy 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jess Jumpn Dynasty 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Regardlezz 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lgm Flirting Hero 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Kas Delivers Gl 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Trixiee 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Tttgolden Cup 10.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Easy One 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tc Scootin Aces 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Duke of Earl 3.00 1.9 3-1
10 10 Contrary Eagle 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Gpf Cajun Connection 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 San Lorenzo Tempted 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Rh Divino 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Fast Dashin Blood 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Apollitical Brad 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Carry On Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Heza Vicious Rogue 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.