Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Band Camp 8.00 1 2-1
3 2 Castle Island 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Irish Warlock 8.00 6 11-1
5 4 Patient Capital 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 6 Under the Radar 3.50 6.2 12-1
1A 8 Chelonian 3.50 6.9 13-1
2 1 Game Change 4.50 7.9 15-1
4 3 Collection Day 4.00 8.4 16-1
6 5 Goodafternoonoscar 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tidewater 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Atmidnight 20.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Thunder Lad 50.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Great Heavens 2.50 3.8 7-1
12 12 Fun Notion 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Smitten Enough 30.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Prado Road 2.00 6.3 12-1
15 15 He’s Orientate 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 One Whirlwind Ride 2.50 6.9 13-1
8 8 John Hall 20.00 7 13-1
16 16 Street Rockin 30.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Chat Blanc 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Always Gambling 10.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Had to Have Him 6.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Great Days Ahead 20.00 10.3 19-1
14 14 Benny Havens 30.00 12.1 23-1
Always Gambling 18 34-1
Had to Have Him 18 34-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Irish Hero 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Kake’s Arrow 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Without Pretence 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Car Ride 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lucky Prince 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Nielson 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Same Day as L J 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Tear It Up 30.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Brindano 10.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Rescue That Girl 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dr Oseran 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Barzini 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Minister for Magic 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Rock the Boat 4.50 4.3 8-1
10 10 Ship the Goods 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Matta 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Childers 4.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Swill 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Talented Man 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Force of Justice 20.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Marched 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heldish 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Golden Candy 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 No Easy Days 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Point Dume 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Cajun Dream 30.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Take Charge Too 4.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Arden’sluckytobe 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 John the Bear 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Monday Morning Qb 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 North Highland 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Ike’s Gamble 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 No Foolin Mo 12.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Border War 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Eff Thirty Five 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Saisir Le Jour 30.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cobblestone Bridge 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Forceful 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Mission North 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Cinder Block 3.50 6.3 12-1
9 9 Polar Bear Plunge 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Wow Whata Party 15.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Union Bulldog 30.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Always Fun 30.00 11.6 22-1
11 11 Dyna Point 30.00 11.7 22-1
14 14 Mr Flowers 6.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Thegirlfromireland 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Paper Mansion 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Princess Indy 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Naval Empire 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Ruda 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Sun Bee 3.00 5.3 10-1
13 13 Always Laughing 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 Bitty Boss 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 Chelichna 20.00 9.1 17-1
14 14 Galilei 10.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Gold Digging Broad 30.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Surya 6.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Continentalcongres 2.00 10.7 20-1
8 8 Hazardous Humor 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S.) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Musical Mischief 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Julia Shining 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Intrepid Dream 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Queen of Missoula 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Shotgun Hottie 1.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lacie Be Good 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Western Lane 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Cats Inthe Timber 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Hilltop S.) – Hilltop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just Better 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Royal Wintour 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 She Feels Pretty 1.40 2.5 5-1
1 1 Roanan Goddess 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 Modern Sound 30.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Society Ball 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Turf Rocket 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Brown Suga Babe 30.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Waves of Mischief 4.00 9 17-1
3 3 Expatriate 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Miss Preakness S.) – Miss Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Youalmosthadme 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Discreet Ops 12.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mystic Lake 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Cap Classique 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lady Moscato 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Launch 4.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Closing Act 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Let Them Watch 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Miss Harriett 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Carmelina 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Value Area 15.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Belle’s Blue Bell 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kaufymaker 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Queen of the Mud (IRE) 3.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 All That Magic 5.00 6.1 11-1
13 13 High Class 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Future Is Now 6.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Hollywood Walk 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Port Townsend 15.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Bosserati 15.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 La Traviesa 15.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Anonymously 8.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Shoshanah 20.00 10.8 20-1
9 9 Dulce Kiara 30.00 13 25-1
5 5 Lilly Simone 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S.) – Pimlico Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kingsbarns 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Red Route One 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Time for Trouble 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Harlocap 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Royal Ship (BRZ) 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Pyrenees 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Be Better 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Double Crown 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gun Song 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Corposo 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Recharge 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lemon Muffin 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ringy Dingy 10.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Call Another Play 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Whocouldaskformo 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Jeanne Marie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Curly Larry and Mo 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 American Unity 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Wonderful Justice (GB) 1.80 2.2 4-1
10 10 The Addison Pour 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Extrasexybigdaddee 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Brilliant Ice 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Wow Whata Summer 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Agent Creed 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Speargun 6.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Captain Quint 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.