Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Drinker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luther Pass | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Citadino | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ringtone | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bring Him Home | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapit Down | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scorpion Shot | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got a Way | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yolo Calls | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mama Sue | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shangrilama (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ives | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dark Marcus | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunday Sun | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toppers Wager | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Suerte | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spot D’ Oro | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | T One D Flour Free | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Paulliac (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Lucky Man | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Rhythm | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Man Overboard | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barsabas | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kimmer | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Drama | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In Theory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jane Austen | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Whitney | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sakura Blossom | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grazia | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doncic | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Devil Moon | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mackinnon | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Idaho Once | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Please Focus | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vinny the Coin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helladic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keychain Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warren’s Wild Ride | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yvett’s Surprise | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Millie | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zzyzx | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Jai Ho | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Respect the Crown | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ketonia (FR) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Strikingly | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Precipice | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Annie Fox | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Queen Berkeley | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen Girvin | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Roses n’ Chrome | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.