Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Drinker 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Luther Pass 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Citadino 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ringtone 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bring Him Home 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Tapit Down 30.00 5 9-1
5 5 Scorpion Shot 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Got a Way 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Yolo Calls 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Mama Sue 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Shangrilama (IRE) 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Miss Ives 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dark Marcus 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Sunday Sun 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Toppers Wager 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mucho Suerte 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Spot D’ Oro 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 T One D Flour Free 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paulliac (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 I’m a Lucky Man 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Awesome Rhythm 2.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Man Overboard 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Barsabas 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Kimmer 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Johnny Drama 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 In Theory 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jane Austen 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 Pink Whitney 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sakura Blossom 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Grazia 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Doncic 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Devil Moon 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mackinnon 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Idaho Once 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Please Focus 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Vinny the Coin 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Helladic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Keychain Girl 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Warren’s Wild Ride 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Yvett’s Surprise 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sweet Millie 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Corporal Violette (IRE) 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Zzyzx 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Jai Ho 1.60 1 2-1
7 6 Respect the Crown 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Ketonia (FR) 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Strikingly 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Precipice 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Annie Fox 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Queen Berkeley 5.00 4 8-1
9 8 Queen Girvin 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 98 Roses n’ Chrome 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.