Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Union Lights 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Ski Country 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Tepeu 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Gun Maestro 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Cumberland Blues 4.50 4 7-1
3 3 Strong Light 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ten Ten 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Sendera 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Apollonia Vitelli 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jingle Jangle 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Dancing Liana 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Bella Isola 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quick Hammer 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Paschal Moon 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Beary Funny 1.60 1.3 3-1
5 5 G Munning 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Majestic Arc 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Solo in Paris 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Schlomo 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 He Has It All 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Aelfgar 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Vettriano 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Mama’s Middie 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Royal Browne 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Curlin’s Hustle 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 City Mischief 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Twenty Six Black 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Works for Me 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Destin’s Mission 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dreampoint 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Noble Emotion 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Feathers Road 15.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Seaver 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 King Moonracer 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Me ‘n Sap 15.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Market Alert 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Night Effect 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Principe d’Oro 5.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Storming Chrome 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Debate 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Andy Cant 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Strapped 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Surface to Air 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Digital 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Khafre 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Majestic Frontier 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Higher Quality 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Six Percent 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Predicted 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Centavo 5.00 4.4 8-1
1A 9 Rocket and Roll 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Alexis Zorba (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Royal Spirit 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Operation Torch 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 1 Ruse 8.00 1.3 3-1
1 3 Ghostlyprince 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Scramble 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Torigo 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Al’s Rocket 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Have You Heard 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Assume Nothing 10.00 7.7 14-1
12 12 Reddington 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ramblin’ Wreck 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Seeking Unity 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Grandpa’s Kid 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Paddington 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Vagrancy S.) – Vagrancy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hot Fudge 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Big Pond 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Beguine 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Asset Purchase 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Leave No Trace 6.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Imonra 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stolen Future 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Beach Cruiser 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Gram 6.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Weekend Rags 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Dusk 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bern Rosey Bern 20.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Quick Power Nap 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Linarite 4.50 6.4 12-1
4 4 Rumint 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Fancypants Juliana 8.00 7 13-1
12 12 U Should B Dancing 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Latest Edition 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ghostbustin 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Astonesthrowaway 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Scarlet’s Dream 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 City Blocks 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Justdeny 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chantilly Road 3.50 2 4-1
6 7 The Taco Lady 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Autumn’s Turn 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 9 Our Finest Hour (FR) 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 10 Opera de Ravel (FR) 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sunday Tiff 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 8 Just So Pretty 8.00 6.1 12-1
1A 6 True Myth 4.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Goodnight My Angel 3.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Greatest Gift 10.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Maturity Date 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Big Beautiful (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.