Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baytown Butterfly | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Amy Rose | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bottoms Up | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Butterfly | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American City | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herb Elias | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Case Ace | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dedos | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Holiday | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Hook | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Green Light | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sardis | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cabernaydo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accident | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ak Sar Ben Derby | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bookie Brent | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spin It | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Cassius | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Pleasure | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | My Boy Tony | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Very Satisfactory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Double Neat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | American Memories | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Half Dome (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Tango | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Star Doctor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Club | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean Night | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sun Dress | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming Always | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Disarm | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baba Voss | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onthestage | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Red Hot | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alejandro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Howling Time | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shuffle Dance | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Command | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Jedi | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sutherland | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fan the Fire | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pico d’Oro | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oncoming Train | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bettering | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ice Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sagittarius | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Active Duty | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Auden | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strasse | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Rock | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Master of the Nite | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Now Ima Believer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Puckster | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laughnowcrylater | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vigano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Moving to Kentucky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Hall | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Uncle Tuffy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisville S.) – Louisville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bold Act (IRE) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Grey Wizard (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Utah Beach | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reckoning Force | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Curlin | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quadra Island | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugoi | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Strong Tide | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guntown | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starting Over | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Avenue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitodan | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Background | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accidental Hero | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Blaze | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Santos Dumont | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Target | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trident Hit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | O P Firecracker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Motown Dynamic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Virasana | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marmalade Skye | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Huntress for Hire | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzlingdominika | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cozee Rags | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Love | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fluent | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Highway Robber | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Escape Artist | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loyal Company | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fair Dinkum | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Packs a Wahlop | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gray’s Fable | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scoobie Quando | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tiberius Mercurius | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lincoln Highway | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Powerful | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Springs | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Split the Wickets | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Dreaming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Prince’s Spur | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Extra Anejo | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Letstalkaboutme | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievousness | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alicit Intention | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sanctify | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wine and Waves | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Avery | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Magic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Defining Joy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.