Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kokopelli Girl 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Save the Mischief 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Problems Abound 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 I’m a Lucky Girl 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Xerces 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Nezy’s Girl 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Go Chloe Go 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Ali’s Jersey Girl 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kate’s Golden Dude 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sea Trident 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Dathoss 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Liberty Star 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Wood Be Wild 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Dontinvademyspace 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 If We Get Lucky 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Rockin Freebee 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Capo 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Evolutionary 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Party At Sam’s 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Pallino 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Trumpet Call 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Bali Amour 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Rumaway 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bahama Pearl 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Leviosa 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 This Round’s Mine 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Takestwotowiggle 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Starship Rogue 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Knock Out Kid 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Cup of Life 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hoku 2.00 1 2-1
16 16 Jarlian 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Midnight Chrome 4.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Castagno 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Shpilkes 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Madison Luvs Duke 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Reconvene 10.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Sacred Rider 10.00 7.7 14-1
14 14 Centurion 10.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Dixie’s Two Stents 10.00 7.7 14-1
13 13 Sophos 10.00 7.7 14-1
15 15 Batter Up Bud 10.00 7.7 14-1
12 12 Warrior’s Vendetta 12.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Dalton 15.00 11.8 22-1
3 3 Midnight Cat 15.00 11.8 22-1
6 6 Omerta Code 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Yo Nessroundonkern 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 We Ready 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Jw’s Third Mischie 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jack Beanstalk 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Captain Chazz 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Refund Rigler 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Minxzhippsdontleye 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capital Conquest 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Natural Harbor 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Causes Trouble 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 He’s Incredible 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 In Sky We Trust 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bronx Boys 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tap in Formation 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cause I Said 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Denali Rae 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Decoupage 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Powwa of Love 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Jezebel Jade 6.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Valiant Majesty 6.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Broad Jumper 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Peacelovenkarma 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Boss Like Beth 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Sweet Mischief 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Freedom Road 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Practical Coach 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Neigh Dude 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Jova 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 B B Bad 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Angelus Warrior 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Hotpot 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Iconic Legacy 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Shadow Box 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Heffner 15.00 11 21-1
3 3 Dadashev 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Look Out Lambo 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Corkman 4.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Wizard Serrat 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Sensible Jim 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Seven Is a Breeze 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Jebologist 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Allevare 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Textpectation 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 True Dakotan 15.00 8 15-1
6 6 Cartier Cat 20.00 11 21-1
3 3 Teewinot Pass 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.