Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Save the Mischief 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Kokopelli Girl 1.60 1.1 2-1
2 2 Nezy’s Girl 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Problems Abound 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Go Chloe Go 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ali’s Jersey Girl 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 I’m a Lucky Girl 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Xerces 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kate’s Golden Dude 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dathoss 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Sea Trident 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Wood Be Wild 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Liberty Star 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 If We Get Lucky 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Rockin Freebee 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Dontinvademyspace 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Party At Sam’s 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Evolutionary 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bali Amour 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Pallino 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Rumaway 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Capo 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Trumpet Call 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 This Round’s Mine 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bahama Pearl 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Starship Rogue 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Leviosa 1.80 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cup of Life 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Knock Out Kid 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Takestwotowiggle 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dalton 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 Madison Luvs Duke 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Shpilkes 6.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Warrior’s Vendetta 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Midnight Chrome 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Dixie’s Two Stents 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Sacred Rider 10.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Sophos 10.00 6.6 12-1
16 16 Jarlian 3.50 6.7 13-1
14 14 Centurion 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Castagno 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Reconvene 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Omerta Code 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hoku 2.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Batter Up Bud 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Midnight Cat 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jw’s Third Mischie 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Yo Nessroundonkern 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 We Ready 2.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Jack Beanstalk 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Captain Chazz 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Refund Rigler 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Minxzhippsdontleye 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Causes Trouble 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 He’s Incredible 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Bronx Boys 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Natural Harbor 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 In Sky We Trust 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Tap in Formation 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Capital Conquest 1.80 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cause I Said 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Decoupage 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Powwa of Love 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Boss Like Beth 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Valiant Majesty 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Jezebel Jade 6.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Denali Rae 4.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Peacelovenkarma 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Sweet Mischief 20.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Broad Jumper 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Freedom Road 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Iconic Legacy 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Neigh Dude 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 B B Bad 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Jova 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Shadow Box 12.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Practical Coach 4.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Angelus Warrior 8.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Heffner 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Dadashev 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Hotpot 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Look Out Lambo 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Teewinot Pass 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Corkman 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Textpectation 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Seven Is a Breeze 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Cartier Cat 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Wizard Serrat 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 True Dakotan 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Jebologist 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sensible Jim 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Allevare 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.