Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lieutenant General 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Irish Heartbeat 3.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Gift Exchange 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Takethefifth 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Master of Malice 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sig 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Maximillions Dream 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Beltane 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 No Cents Non Cents 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Laddie Dance 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Porquerolles 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Breakwater 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Chelonian 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 St. John’s 6.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Jolly by Golly 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Rakia 10.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Desvio 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Understudy Kitty 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Midnight Award 30.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Southern Lad 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mirahmadi 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Magic Express 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Nasty Habit 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Whenlovetakesover 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Prado Road 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Great Heavens 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Open the Books 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Skipat S.) – Skipat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Apple Picker 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Disco Ebo 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sweet Shild O Mine 4.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Royal Poppy 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Swall 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Late Frost 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Anonymously 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rye Smile 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Marian Cross (GB) 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Barbtourage 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Up for It 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 The Amazing Mizzen 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Modarosa 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Cooter’s Revenge (AUS) 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Call the Question 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Conceptualize 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Lenamagnetta 30.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Shared Authority 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Chick Lang S.) – Chick Lang S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Frost Free 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mr Skylight 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Cats by Five 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Catahoula Moon 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Petingas Twin 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Market Street 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sweet Soddy J 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Classic Joke 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Gallorette S.) – Gallorette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fluffy Socks 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Blissful 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Sweet Dani Girl 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Cats Inthe Timber 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Five Towns (GB) 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Dana’s Beauty 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tequilera 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Ninja Abarrio 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Ascendancy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maryland Sprint S.) – Maryland Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prevalence 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Coastal Mission 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Prince of Jericho 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Super Chow 4.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Jaxon Traveler 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Bourbon Bash 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Little Roo Roo 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (James W. Murphy S.) – James W. Murphy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Copper Tax 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Twirling Point 4.00 2 4-1
12 12 Fulmineo 4.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 Abrumar 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Crystal Quest 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Echo Lane 8.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Tocayo 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Naptown 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Speedyness 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lucky Jeremy 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Massif 20.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Buckin’ Dreamer 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Corporate Power 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Tuscan Sky 2.50 1.2 2-1
10 10 Imperial Gun 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Gould’s Gold 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mighty Message 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 D Day Sky 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Daily Grind 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Circle P 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Real Macho 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Deposition 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Beer Can Man 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Witty 4.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Charging 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Boat’s a Rockin 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Grooms All Bizness 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Smooth B 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Carotari 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hunter Joe 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 That’s Right 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mid Day Image 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Where’s Ray 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Surprise Boss 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Dinner Party S.) – Dinner Party S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Emmanuel 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Running Bee 4.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Beatbox 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Balnikhov (IRE) 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Adhamo (IRE) 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Atone 10.00 2.7 5-1
12 12 Funtastic Again 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Highland Chief (IRE) 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 English Bee 15.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Eons 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Crabs N Beer 30.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Helms Deep 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Preakness S.) – Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Muth 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Mystik Dan 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Catching Freedom 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Imagination 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Tuscan Gold 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Just Steel 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Seize the Grey 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Uncle Heavy 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Mugatu 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Armando R 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 It’s Viper 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Frightland 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Sheriff Ronnie 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Union Fleet 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Speargun 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Curlin’s Malibu 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.