Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Rockette 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Ms Bo J 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Hymnal 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tiz Silver 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Petite Ange 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Teen Drama 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jibber Jabber (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Inner Beauty (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Aventapp 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 A Real Jewel 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dancing Soul 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 True Friend 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Wrong Turn Cupid 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Instinct D’ Oro 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Winsitwell 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Aloha Chrome 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Thirsty Lov 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Audible Silence 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Square D’ Oro 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Striking Thunder 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Dapitan Star 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Western Power 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Magic Account 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Getemdusty 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Vilified 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Unusual Win 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Speed of the Nile 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Brainiac 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cir Johnny 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dr. Soulfire 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Pinehurst (IRE) 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Vorpal 4.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Petesoldfashioned 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Sky Cloud 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Quagmire Magic 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Gostoso 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Blame George 20.00 9 17-1
5 5 Phoenician Ghost 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Well Funded 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Desert Rhapsody 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Bolt d’Vine 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Tahini 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Apple Fest 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 She’s Muy Muy 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Fire Ban 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Grainne O’Malley 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Mizdirection S.) – Mizdirection S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Getthemoney 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Miss Lizzy 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lucky Girl (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Selenaia (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Adaay In Asia (GB) 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Rebalation 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Chismosa 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mc Vay 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Winterfell 4.00 2 4-1
6 6 Magnify 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Metro 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fame 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Wise Counsel 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Leading 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Middleburg 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Pony Express 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 98 My Ransom 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 De’ Medici 1.80 1.4 3-1
8 7 Vegas Burner 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Precision Strike 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dual Threat 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Crypto Ride 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Mischelof (CHI) 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Letshaveonemore 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Runamileinmyshoes 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Ashleys Sandcastle 5.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Warren’s Paradice 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Annie’s Hope 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Miz Clubcali 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Nothing Is Forever 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Pippa Philipa 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Glacier Rim 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Mineral Rights 20.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Girlcanthelpit 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fascinator 50.00 12 23-1
10 10 Last Elizabethan 50.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.