Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Walter Me Lad | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Sky | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Serenade | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin’ Deputy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Tomahawk | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander At Sea | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Success | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Image | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valyrian Sky | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Oaks | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meko Makee | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always a Way | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valley Victory | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Sneakers | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Very Savvy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plus Power | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Bullet Lady | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flowers ‘n Berries | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remembering Rhoda | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Old Secrets | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getting Ahead | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sister Cousin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Assistant | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Speaker | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hekla’s Aura | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crumlin Beast | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clarayouthebest | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hobbie Class | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tivali | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Loaded Question | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonbright | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helluva Holiday | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Train | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taylormoon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onandonandon | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tis a Pity | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its a Birdie | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gunnawin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castleton | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Princess | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Golden Spring | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cee’nceesgreytness | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Glory | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Lasso | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Now You See Me | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Well Actually | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Causeway | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Diva | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Gypsy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Have an Idea | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams and Schemes | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Destiny Ro | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Unheard | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yousangtome | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tentomidnight | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Gizmo | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sinclairity | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noyzee Girl | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Mood | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blameless Ghost | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fulcra | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zibibbo | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.