Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Condiment Girl |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summer of Mischief |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mazoku |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Protomagic |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Caltha |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Markswoman |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fairy Cakes (GB) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Stingy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dual Monarchy |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
God of Wine |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haskelled |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Via Della Spiga |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Forge in Fire |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiverton |
5.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cashmeup |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Zen Moment |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mo for Us |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Crazy Cami |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wowsers |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Outwork Mom |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Despo’s Dream |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Innocent Nyght |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Penny’s Smile |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sombra Dorada |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Classy’n Connected |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Everything Bugs Me |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Claret Beret |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mystical Chant |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dial Home |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hand It Over |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Westphalia |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Celebrity Ro |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stephanieswarrior |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Argentinidad |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Above All Else |
8.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Am the Sauce |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quietly |
12.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
16 |
16 |
Semantics |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Marina Gamba |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Toffee Apple |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
My Sexy Blonde |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Zippin Gigi |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Divine Armor |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Friar Laurence |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Infiltrator |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Direct Line |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Papa Rocket |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Palace Kitten |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flags Up |
8.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
W W Crazy |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Global Sensation |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Genetics |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Halstyn Rose |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Prides Crossing |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moonlit Mischief |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Penny Royal |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rare Affair |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Not Guilty |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s It |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
American Fairytale |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Conquest Dancer |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Flawless Quality |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Bound for Nowhere |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bound for Nowhere |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Counterstrike |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bushido |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gaslight Dancer |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Zoombie |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clear the Air |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kigali |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Wake Surf |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
B D Valeski |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ducale |
12.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Red Danger |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
17 |
17 |
Surveillance |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Insolito |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
On Your Mark |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
20 |
20 |
Pro Oxidant |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
18 |
18 |
Saffa’s Day |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Two Eagles River |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Into the Sunrise |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bad Beat Brian |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
19 |
19 |
Improbable Journey |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Motorcade |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Landlord |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tagliatelle |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
J. P. Race |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mucho Mojo |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pressure |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
City of Clouds |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jay Vee Bee |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
You Make Me Happy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Supremely |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Silver Rose |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
She Called |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nay V Belle |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fibber |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready for Trouble |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Winakaching |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Zadorsky |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Opposite the Crowd |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hidden Class |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Plum Tricky |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Krickle |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Harbor Springs |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Keertana S.) – Keertana S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Atomic Blonde (GER) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chop Chop |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vergara |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Atomic Blonde (GER) |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Heavenly Appointed |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sand and Sea |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Holy Foley |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tower Bridge |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Candy Landy |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Illusion |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Queen Clancy |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Monarch |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bougie Not Basic |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fun Loving |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen of Paris |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Come as You Are |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rendezvous |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shezalittlestinker |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
A Little Canela |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.