Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Really Thirsty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stop Digging | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Kate | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Recalcitrant | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clubhouse Bride | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Vienna | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dorie Miller | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smokem If U Gottem | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Beast | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden River | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Levi | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kisna | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Blind | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Datsyuk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Thor’s Echo S.) – Thor’s Echo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moose Mitchell | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Chosen Vron | 0.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sawasdee | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | California Tiger | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big City Lights | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Crystal Water S.) – Crystal Water S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kings River Knight | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barely Funtional | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clouseau | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coalinga Road | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Pal | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmelita’s Man | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | None Above the Law | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oubabe | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Passarando | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Castagna | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Danzing | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Omen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Neezer Dalton | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Blaze | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better B Worth It | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Not the Law | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Willow Cove | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ace Ace Baby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Fran’s Valentine S.) – Fran’s Valentine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stay and Scam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carmen Miranda | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cornelia Fort | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tam’s Little Angel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abhita | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moment’s Pleasure | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaker | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Madiha | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rose Dawson | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shezmisbehaving | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jessebear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Danzing Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sand to Sea | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Wahine | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whimsical Heir | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alfonsia | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ryder’s Candy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy Twister | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank) – Snow Chief S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shady Tiger | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Takes Three | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Kaos | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stolen Treasure | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two by Four | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Final Storm | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keep Movin’ On | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tamarando Star | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay On the Fence | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Size Does Matter | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Melair S.) – Melair S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Safa | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Slam Smile | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Putt for Dough | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madison Rae | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loretta Lynn | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roberta’s Love | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Only One America | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eddie’s Last | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Sushi | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leyas Candy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizz a Good Thing | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Left Hand Man | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle John | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Bucky Charm | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Ice | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chick’s Dig It | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Advisor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rhythem On Stage | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bronko Nagurski | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.